Category Archives: Weather

Sam Advisory # 34

BULLETIN
Hurricane Sam Advisory Number  34
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL182021
1100 PM AST Thu Sep 30 2021

...SAM STILL A POWERFUL 145 MPH HURRICANE...
...DANGEROUS SURF EXPECTED FOR A LARGE PORTION OF THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC SHORELINE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.0N 61.2W
ABOUT 550 MI...885 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...938 MB...27.70 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sam was located 
near latitude 25.0 North, longitude 61.2 West. Sam is moving toward 
the north-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h) and this motion with an 
slight increase in forward speed is expected tonight. A turn toward 
the north is anticipated on Friday, and a northeastward motion is 
forecast to begin on Saturday. On the forecast track, the core of 
Sam will pass to the east of Bermuda early Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 145 mph (230 km/h) with higher 
gusts.  Sam is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson 
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are expected 
during the next day or so, followed by gradual weakening. Sam is 
forecast to remain a major hurricane into Saturday, with additional
weakening forecast later in the weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles
(240 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 938 mb (27.70 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Sam can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC,
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?key_messages.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda beginning
Friday night or early Saturday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Sam will impact the northern Leeward
Islands and the Greater Antilles, including Puerto Rico, during the
next few days.  Swells are expected to reach Bermuda and the Bahamas
tomorrow, and then spread to the United States east coast by this
weekend.  These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions.  Please consult products from your local
weather office.

TS Victor Advisory # 6

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Victor Advisory Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL202021
500 PM AST Thu Sep 30 2021

...VICTOR HOLDING STEADY IN STRENGTH OVER THE TROPICAL EAST
ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.9N 30.0W
ABOUT 585 MI...940 KM SW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Victor was
located near latitude 9.9 North, longitude 30.0 West. Victor is
moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h).  A
west-northwest to northwest motion over the eastern tropical
Atlantic is expected through the weekend.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher 
gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next day or so. 
However, a weakening trend is expected to begin over the weekend.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

Sam Advisory # 33A

BULLETIN
Hurricane Sam Intermediate Advisory Number 33A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL182021
800 PM AST Thu Sep 30 2021

...POWERFUL HURRICANE SAM NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST...
...DANGEROUS SURF EXPECTED FOR A LARGE PORTION OF THE WESTERN 
ATLANTIC SHORELINE...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.3N 61.0W
ABOUT 600 MI...965 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...938 MB...27.70 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Sam was located near 
latitude 24.3 North, longitude 61.0 West.  Sam is moving toward the 
north-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this continued motion 
with an additional increase in forward speed is expected tonight.  A 
turn toward the north is anticipated on Friday, and a northeastward 
motion is forecast to begin on Saturday. On the forecast track, the 
core of Sam will pass to the east of Bermuda early Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 145 mph (230 km/h) with higher 
gusts.  Sam is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson 
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Some fluctuations in intensity are expected 
during the next couple of days, but Sam is forecast to remain a 
major hurricane into Saturday, with more significant weakening 
anticipated later in the weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150
miles (240 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 938 mb (27.70 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Sam can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC,
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?key_messages.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda beginning
Friday night or early Saturday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Sam will impact the northern Leeward
Islands and the Greater Antilles, including Puerto Rico, during the
next few days.  Swells are expected to reach Bermuda and the Bahamas
by Friday, and then spread to the United States east coast by this
weekend.  These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions.  Please consult products from your local
weather office.

TS Victor Advisory # 5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Victor Advisory Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL202021
200 PM CVT Thu Sep 30 2021

...VICTOR FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE EASTERN TROPICAL 
ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM CVT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.5N 28.9W
ABOUT 555 MI...895 KM SW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM CVT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Victor was
located near latitude 9.5 North, longitude 28.9 West.  Victor is
moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h).  A
west-northwest to northwest motion over the eastern tropical
Atlantic is expected through the weekend.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher 
gusts.  Gradual strengthening is forecast, and Victor could be near 
hurricane strength on Friday.  A weakening trend is expected to 
begin over the weekend.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
north of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

Sam Advisory # 32A

 

BULLETIN
Hurricane Sam Intermediate Advisory Number 32A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL182021
200 PM AST Thu Sep 30 2021

...SAM MAINTAINING CATEGORY 4 INTENSITY...
...EXPECTED TO BRING DANGEROUS HIGH SURF TO A LARGE PORTION OF THE 
WESTERN ATLANTIC SHORELINE...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.1N 60.5W
ABOUT 685 MI...1105 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...941 MB...27.79 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Sam was located by 
an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 23.1 North, 
longitude 60.5 West.  Sam is moving toward the northwest near 13 
mph (20 km/h), and a turn toward the north-northwest with an 
increase in forward speed is expected tonight.  A turn toward the 
north is anticipated by late Friday, and a northeastward motion is 
forecast to begin on Saturday.  On the forecast track, the core of 
Sam will pass to the east of Bermuda early Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 145 mph (230 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Sam is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Some fluctuations in intensity are expected
during the next couple of days, but Sam is forecast to remain a
major hurricane through Saturday, with more significant weakening
anticipated later in the weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150
miles (240 km).

The minimum central pressure measured by the Air Force Hurricane 
Hunters is 941 mb (27.79 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Sam can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC,
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?key_messages.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible on Bermuda beginning
Friday night or early Saturday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Sam will impact the northern Leeward
Islands and the Greater Antilles, including Puerto Rico, during the
next few days.  Swells are expected to reach Bermuda and the Bahamas
by Friday, and then spread to the United States east coast by this
weekend.  These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions.  Please consult products from your local
weather office.

Sam Advisory # 31A

BULLETIN
Hurricane Sam Intermediate Advisory Number 31A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL182021
800 AM AST Thu Sep 30 2021

...INTENSE HURRICANE SAM CONTINUES NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.1N 59.5W
ABOUT 355 MI...575 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 775 MI...1250 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...937 MB...27.67 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Sam was located near
latitude 22.1 North, longitude 59.5 West.  Sam is moving toward the
northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion with an
increase in forward speed is expected through tonight.  A turn
toward the north is anticipated by late Friday, and a northeastward
motion is forecast to begin on Saturday.  On the forecast track, the
core of Sam will continue to pass well to the northeast of the
northern Leeward Islands this morning, and pass to the east of
Bermuda early Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 145 mph (230 km/h) with higher 
gusts.  Sam is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Some fluctuations in intensity are expected
during the next couple of days, but Sam is forecast to remain a
major hurricane through Saturday, with more significant weakening
anticipated later in the weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150
miles (240 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 937 mb (27.67 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Sam can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC,
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?key_messages.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible on Bermuda beginning
Friday night or early Saturday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Sam will impact the northern Leeward
Islands and the Greater Antilles, including Puerto Rico, during the
next few days.  Swells are expected to reach Bermuda and the Bahamas
by Friday, and then spread to the United States east coast by this
weekend.  These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions.  Please consult products from your local
weather office.

TS Victor Advisory # 3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Victor Advisory Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL202021
200 AM CVT Thu Sep 30 2021

...VICTOR MOVING GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM CVT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...8.4N 26.7W
ABOUT 555 MI...895 KM SSW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM CVT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Victor was
located near latitude 8.4 North, longitude 26.7 West. Victor is
moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h)  and this
general motion is expected to continue through Friday, followed by 
a turn toward the northwest late Friday or Friday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Steady strengthening is forecast, and Victor is expected to become 
a hurricane in a day or two.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

Sam Advisory # 30

BULLETIN
Hurricane Sam Advisory Number  30
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL182021
1100 PM AST Wed Sep 29 2021

...SAM GAINING STRENGTH AND SIZE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 58.4W
ABOUT 350 MI...560 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 900 MI...1445 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Sam.  A
Tropical Storm Watch could be required for the island on Thursday.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sam was located
near latitude 20.6 North, longitude 58.4 West. Sam is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion with an increase in forward speed is expected during the next couple of
days.  A turn toward the north and northeast is anticipated by
Friday night.  On the forecast track, Sam will continue to pass well to the east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands through
tonight, and pass to the east of Bermuda early Saturday.

Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum
sustained winds have increased to near 145 mph (230 km/h) with 
higher gusts.  Sam is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Some fluctuations in intensity are expected
during the next couple of days, but Sam is forecast to remain a
major hurricane through late this week, with more significant
weakening anticipated over the weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 65 miles (100 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150
miles (240 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure based on NOAA Hurricane 
Hunter data is 940 mb (27.76 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Sam can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.

SURF:  Swells generated by Sam will impact the Lesser Antilles
during the next several days.  Swells are expected to reach Bermuda and the Bahamas in a day or so, and then spread to the United States east coast by this weekend.  These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.




Sam Advisory # 29

SBULLETIN
Hurricane Sam Advisory Number  29
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL182021
500 PM AST Wed Sep 29 2021

...CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE SAM PASSING WELL TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OF 
THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.2N 57.6W
ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB...27.91 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sam was located
near latitude 20.2 North, longitude 57.6 West. Sam is moving toward
the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion with an
increase in forward speed is expected during the next couple of
days.  A turn toward the north is forecast by Friday.  On the
forecast track, Sam will continue to pass well to the 
east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands through tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Sam is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Some fluctuations in intensity are expected
during the next couple of days, but Sam is forecast to remain a
major hurricane through late this week.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).

An Air Force Reserve Unit Hurricane Hunter aircraft reported a 
minimum central pressure of 945 mb (27.91 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Sam can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.

SURF:  Swells generated by Sam will impact the Lesser Antilles
during the next several days.  Swells are expected to reach Bermuda
and the Bahamas in a day or so, and then spread to the United
States east coast by this weekend.  These swells could cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.

T.D. 20 Advisory # 1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Twenty Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL202021
200 PM CVT Wed Sep 29 2021

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE FAR EASTERN TROPICAL
ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM CVT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...8.3N 24.6W
ABOUT 535 MI...860 KM S OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM CVT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twenty 
was located near latitude 8.3 North, longitude 24.6 West. The 
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 
km/h), and this motion is expected to continue during the next 
couple of days, followed by a turn to the northwest.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Steady strengthening is forecast, and the depression is expected to 
become a tropical storm tonight and a hurricane in a couple of days.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None