Category Archives: Weather

TS Victor Advisory # 3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Victor Advisory Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL202021
200 AM CVT Thu Sep 30 2021

...VICTOR MOVING GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM CVT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...8.4N 26.7W
ABOUT 555 MI...895 KM SSW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM CVT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Victor was
located near latitude 8.4 North, longitude 26.7 West. Victor is
moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h)  and this
general motion is expected to continue through Friday, followed by 
a turn toward the northwest late Friday or Friday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Steady strengthening is forecast, and Victor is expected to become 
a hurricane in a day or two.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

Sam Advisory # 30

BULLETIN
Hurricane Sam Advisory Number  30
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL182021
1100 PM AST Wed Sep 29 2021

...SAM GAINING STRENGTH AND SIZE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 58.4W
ABOUT 350 MI...560 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 900 MI...1445 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Sam.  A
Tropical Storm Watch could be required for the island on Thursday.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sam was located
near latitude 20.6 North, longitude 58.4 West. Sam is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion with an increase in forward speed is expected during the next couple of
days.  A turn toward the north and northeast is anticipated by
Friday night.  On the forecast track, Sam will continue to pass well to the east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands through
tonight, and pass to the east of Bermuda early Saturday.

Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum
sustained winds have increased to near 145 mph (230 km/h) with 
higher gusts.  Sam is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Some fluctuations in intensity are expected
during the next couple of days, but Sam is forecast to remain a
major hurricane through late this week, with more significant
weakening anticipated over the weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 65 miles (100 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150
miles (240 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure based on NOAA Hurricane 
Hunter data is 940 mb (27.76 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Sam can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.

SURF:  Swells generated by Sam will impact the Lesser Antilles
during the next several days.  Swells are expected to reach Bermuda and the Bahamas in a day or so, and then spread to the United States east coast by this weekend.  These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.




Sam Advisory # 29

SBULLETIN
Hurricane Sam Advisory Number  29
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL182021
500 PM AST Wed Sep 29 2021

...CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE SAM PASSING WELL TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OF 
THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.2N 57.6W
ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB...27.91 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sam was located
near latitude 20.2 North, longitude 57.6 West. Sam is moving toward
the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion with an
increase in forward speed is expected during the next couple of
days.  A turn toward the north is forecast by Friday.  On the
forecast track, Sam will continue to pass well to the 
east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands through tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Sam is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Some fluctuations in intensity are expected
during the next couple of days, but Sam is forecast to remain a
major hurricane through late this week.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).

An Air Force Reserve Unit Hurricane Hunter aircraft reported a 
minimum central pressure of 945 mb (27.91 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Sam can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.

SURF:  Swells generated by Sam will impact the Lesser Antilles
during the next several days.  Swells are expected to reach Bermuda
and the Bahamas in a day or so, and then spread to the United
States east coast by this weekend.  These swells could cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.

T.D. 20 Advisory # 1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Twenty Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL202021
200 PM CVT Wed Sep 29 2021

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE FAR EASTERN TROPICAL
ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM CVT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...8.3N 24.6W
ABOUT 535 MI...860 KM S OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM CVT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twenty 
was located near latitude 8.3 North, longitude 24.6 West. The 
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 
km/h), and this motion is expected to continue during the next 
couple of days, followed by a turn to the northwest.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Steady strengthening is forecast, and the depression is expected to 
become a tropical storm tonight and a hurricane in a couple of days.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None

Sam Advisory # 28

BULLETIN
Hurricane Sam Advisory Number  28
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL182021
1100 AM AST Wed Sep 29 2021

...POWERFUL SAM CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 57.0W
ABOUT 405 MI...655 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...949 MB...28.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sam was located
near latitude 19.4 North, longitude 57.0 West.  Sam is moving toward
the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion with an
increase in forward speed is expected during the next couple of
days.  A turn toward the north is forecast by Friday.  On the
forecast track, Sam will pass well to the east-northeast of the 
northern Leeward Islands through tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Sam is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Some fluctuations in intensity are expected
during the next couple of days, but Sam is forecast to remain a
major hurricane through late this week.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles
(205 km).

The minimum central pressure estimated from NOAA Hurricane Hunter 
aircraft observations is 949 mb (28.03 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Sam can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.

SURF:  Swells generated by Sam will impact the Lesser Antilles
during the next several days.  Swells are expected to reach Bermuda
and the Bahamas in a day or so, and then spread to the United
States east coast by this weekend.  These swells could cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.

Sam Advisory # 27

BULLETIN
Hurricane Sam Advisory Number  27
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL182021
500 AM AST Wed Sep 29 2021

...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND SAM FLUCTUATING IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.9N 56.2W
ABOUT 455 MI...730 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sam was located
near latitude 18.9 North, longitude 56.2 West. Sam is moving toward
the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion with an
increase in forward speed is expected during the next couple of
days.  A turn toward the north is forecast by Friday.  On the
forecast track, Sam will pass well to the east and northeast of
the northern Leeward Islands through tonight.

Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate 
that the maximum sustained winds are near 130 mph (215 km/h) with 
higher gusts.  Sam is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Some fluctuations in intensity are expected
during the next couple of days, but Sam is forecast to remain a
major hurricane through late this week.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles
(205 km).

The latest minimum central pressure estimated from reconnaissance 
aircraft data is 950 mb (28.06 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Sam can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.

SURF:  Swells generated by Sam will impact the Lesser Antilles
during the next several days.  Swells are expected to reach Bermuda
and the Bahamas in a day or two, and then spread to the United
States east coast by this weekend.  These swells could cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.

Sam Advisory # 24

BULLETIN
Hurricane Sam Advisory Number  24
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL182021
1100 AM AST Tue Sep 28 2021

...SAM REMAINS A POWERFUL CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE OVER THE TROPICAL
ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.5N 54.3W
ABOUT 580 MI...935 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Sam was located near 
latitude 17.5 North, longitude 54.3 West. Sam is moving toward the 
northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this motion with an increase in 
forward is expected during the next couple of days.  A turn toward 
the north is forecast to occur by Friday.  On the forecast track, 
Sam will pass well to the east of the northern Leeward Islands 
through Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher 
gusts.  Sam is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson 
Hurricane Wind Scale.   Some fluctuations in intensity are expected 
during the next couple of days, but Sam is forecast to remain a 
major hurricane through late this week.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 952 mb (28.12 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Sam can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.

SURF:  Swells generated by Sam will impact the Lesser Antilles
during the next several days.  Swells are expected to reach Bermuda
and the Bahamas in a couple of days, and then spread to the United
States east coast late this week.  These swells could cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.




Sam Advisory # 21

BULLETIN
Hurricane Sam Advisory Number  21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL182021
500 PM AST Mon Sep 27 2021

...SAM BEGINNING TO REGROUP AFTER WEAKENING...
...SOME REINTENSIFICATION EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.3N 52.7W
ABOUT 700 MI...1125 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB...28.26 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sam was located
near latitude 16.3 North, longitude 52.7 West. Sam is moving toward
the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this motion is expected to
continue for the next few days, with an increase in forward speed
beginning on Thursday.  A turn to the north is expected by Friday.
On the forecast track, Sam will pass well to the northeast of the
northern Leeward Islands Wednesday and Thursday.

An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicates that the 
maximum sustained winds are near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher 
gusts.  Sam is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson 
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Some strengthening is expected through 
tonight. Thereafter, fluctuations in intensity are possible through 
Thursday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles
(165 km).

The minimum central pressure measured by the aircraft is 957 mb 
(28.26 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Sam can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.

SURF:  Swells generated by Sam will impact the Lesser Antilles for
the next several days.  Swells are expected to reach Bermuda and the
Bahamas mid-to-late week, and then spread to the United States east
coast late this week.  These swells could cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.

Sam Advisory # 19

BULLETIN
Hurricane Sam Advisory Number  19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL182021
500 AM AST Mon Sep 27 2021

...SAM EXPECTED TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE FOR SEVERAL DAYS...
...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT TO INVESTIGATE SAM LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 51.4W
ABOUT 800 MI...1290 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sam was located 
near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 51.4 West.  Sam is moving toward 
the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h).  This general motion is expected 
to continue for the next several days, with an increase in forward 
speed beginning on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher 
gusts.  Sam is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson 
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Little change in strength is expected during 
the next day or so.  Thereafter, some slow weakening is forecast 
through midweek, although Sam should remain a major hurricane.

Sam is a small hurricane.  Hurricane-force winds extend outward up 
to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds 
extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 952 mb (28.12 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Sam will reach the Lesser Antilles today
and impact these islands for the next several days.  These swells
could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

Sam Advisory # 16

BULLETIN
Hurricane Sam Advisory Number  16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL182021
1100 AM AST Sun Sep 26 2021

...SAM CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AS A CATEGORY 4
HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.9N 50.2W
ABOUT 905 MI...1455 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...943 MB...27.85 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sam was located
near latitude 13.9 North, longitude 50.2 West.  Sam is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph.  This general motion is expected to continue today, followed by a turn toward the northwest on Monday.  Then, a northwestward motion is forecast to continue through 
midweek.

Maximum sustained winds are near 145 mph (230 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Sam is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Some fluctuations in intensity are expected
during the next day or so.  Thereafter, some slow weakening is
forecast.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 943 mb (27.85 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Sam are forecast to reach the Lesser
Antilles early this week. These swells could cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.