BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Rose Advisory Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172021
500 PM AST Tue Sep 21 2021
...ROSE HOLDING ON AS A TROPICAL STORM....
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.5N 37.7W
ABOUT 1000 MI...1605 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rose was
located near latitude 22.5 North, longitude 37.7 West. Rose is
moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). The storm
should gradually turn toward the north during the next couple of
days and move more to the northeast on Friday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Rose could decay into a tropical depression this evening and
degenerate into a remnant low by Friday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Rose Advisory Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172021
500 AM AST Tue Sep 21 2021
...ROSE BEGINS TO WEAKEN...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.0N 36.4W
ABOUT 880 MI...1420 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rose was
located near latitude 21.0 North, longitude 36.4 West. Rose is
moving toward the northwest near 20 mph (31 km/h). A slower
northwestward motion is expected during the next couple of days
followed by a turn to the north.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h)
with higher gusts. Continued slow weakening is expected during the
next few days.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Peter Advisory Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162021
500 AM AST Tue Sep 21 2021
...DISORGANIZED PETER PASSING TO THE NORTH OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 63.8W
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM NNW OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Interests in the northern Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, and
Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of this system.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Peter was
located near latitude 19.6 North, longitude 63.8 West. Peter is
moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h). A west-northwest
motion is expected to resume later today and continue for the next
day or two. A turn to the north with a decrease in forward speed
is expected later this week. On the forecast track, the center of
Peter will pass north of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico today.
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow weakening is forecast during the next few days.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Rainfall around the southern periphery of Tropical Storm
Peter could produce additional rainfall totals of 1 to 4 inches,
with storm total accumulations up to 6 inches, across portions of
the Northern Leeward Islands, including portions of the Virgin
Islands, as well as Puerto Rico and the northern portions of
Hispaniola through Thursday morning. This rainfall may lead to areas
of urban and small stream flooding.
SURF: Swells generated by Peter are affecting the northern Leeward
Islands and Puerto Rico, and will continue spreading westward to
Hispaniola later today and the Bahamas on Wednesday. These swells
could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
Tropical Storm Rose Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172021
830 PM AST Mon Sep 20 2021
...ROSE A LITTLE STRONGER...
Recent satellite wind data indicate that the maximum sustained winds
in Rose are now near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. The data
also suggests that the center of Rose is slightly west of the
previous forecast track. These changes will be reflected in the
11 PM AST (0300 UTC) advisory package.
SUMMARY OF 830 PM AST...0030 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.7N 35.0W
ABOUT 750 MI...1210 KM WNW OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Rose Advisory Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172021
500 PM AST Mon Sep 20 2021
...ROSE RUNNING OUT OF TIME TO STRENGTHEN...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.4N 34.4W
ABOUT 705 MI...1135 KM WNW OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rose was
located near latitude 18.4 North, longitude 34.4 West. Rose is
moving toward the northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general
motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected during the next
couple of days. Rose will likely turn north-northwestward on
Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. No significant change in strength is anticipated today,
with weakening likely beginning on Tuesday and continuing through
midweek.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Peter Advisory Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162021
500 PM AST Mon Sep 20 2021
...PETER REFUSES TO SUCCUMB TO STRONG WIND SHEAR...
...STORM EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS EARLY THIS
WEEK...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.0N 61.8W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Interests in the northern Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, and
Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of this system.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Peter was
located near latitude 20.0 North, longitude 61.8 West. Peter is
moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). This general
motion is expected to continue during the next day or so, followed
by a turn to the northwest with a decrease in forward speed on
Wednesday, and then a turn to the north by Wednesday night. On the
forecast track, the center of Peter will pass north of the northern
Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico through Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher
gusts. Slow weakening is forecast during the next few days.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Rainfall around the southern periphery of Tropical Storm
Peter could produce rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches, with locally
higher amounts possible across portions of the Northern Leeward
Islands, including the Virgin Islands, as well as Puerto Rico and
the northern portions of Hispaniola through Tuesday. This rainfall
may lead to areas of urban and small stream flooding.
SURF: Swells generated by Peter are expected to affect the northern
Leeward Islands early this week, and then reach the Bahamas by
midweek. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Rose Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172021
500 AM AST Mon Sep 20 2021
...ROSE CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE EASTERN TROPICAL
ATLANTIC WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.9N 32.6W
ABOUT 550 MI...885 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rose was
located near latitude 15.9 North, longitude 32.6 West. Rose is
moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this motion
at a slightly slower forward speed is forecast over the next few
days.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slight strengthening will be possible today. By Tuesday, however,
upper-level winds are expected to become less conducive, and Rose is
forecast to begin a slow weakening trend.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Peter Advisory Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162021
500 AM AST Mon Sep 20 2021
...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS PETER HAS CHANGED LITTLE...
...TROPICAL STORM EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
EARLY THIS WEEK...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 59.5W
ABOUT 245 MI...390 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Interests in the northern Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, and
Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of this system.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Peter was
located near latitude 19.1 North, longitude 59.5 West. Peter is
moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). This
general motion is expected to continue during the next couple of
days, followed by a turn to the northwest with a decrease in
forward speed on Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow weakening is forecast during the next several days.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km),
primarily to the northeast of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Rainfall around the southern periphery of Tropical Storm
Peter could produce rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches, with locally
higher amounts possible, across portions of the Northern Leeward
Islands, including the Virgin Islands, as well as Puerto Rico
through Tuesday. This rainfall may lead to areas of urban and small
stream flooding.
SURF: Swells generated by Peter are expected to affect the northern
Leeward Islands early this week, and then reach the Bahamas by
midweek. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.
