TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gordon):
Strong upper-level winds continue to keep showers and thunderstorms
displaced away from the center of an area of low pressure (the
remnants of Gordon) located over a thousand miles southwest of the
Azores. Significant development of this system is not expected
while it meanders over the central subtropical Atlantic during the
next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…10 percent.
2. Central and Western Subtropical Atlantic (AL96):
An area of low pressure located about 700 miles northeast of the
northern Leeward Islands is producing showers and a few
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions do not appear conducive
for significant development of this system during the next couple of
days while it drifts northwestward at about 5 mph over the central
or western subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…10 percent.
3. Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure could form by the early to middle
part of next week over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the
adjacent portions of Central America. Thereafter, gradual
development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression
could form as the system moves slowly to the north or northwest
over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and into the southern
Gulf of Mexico through the end of next week. Regardless of
development, this system is expected to produce heavy rains over
portions of Central America during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…60 percent.
4. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is expected to move westward from the coast of
Africa on Sunday or Monday. Gradual subsequent development of this
system is possible next week as it moves west-northwestward over
the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…20 percent.
Forecaster Beven