Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Oct 30 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Shower activity continues to become better organized in association with a tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea. Conditions are conducive for further development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week as the system moves into the central and western Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.