BULLETIN
Hurricane Paulette Advisory Number 25
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020
1100 PM AST Sat Sep 12 2020
…PAULETTE NOW A HURRICANE…
…STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON BERMUDA BY
SUNDAY EVENING…
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…28.9N 59.7W
ABOUT 385 MI…615 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH…120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH…22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…981 MB…28.97 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
* Bermuda
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Tropical-storm-force winds that
make outside preparations difficult or dangerous are expected to
reach Bermuda Sunday afternoon or evening. Preparations to protect
life and property should be rushed to completion.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Paulette was
located near latitude 28.9 North, longitude 59.7 West. Paulette
is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A
west-northwest or northwest motion is expected through Sunday night.
A turn toward the north with a decrease in forward speed is forecast
on Monday, followed by a northeastward motion Monday night and
Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Paulette will move
near or over Bermuda Monday morning.
Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate
that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120
km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast, and
Paulette is expected to be a dangerous hurricane when it approaches
Bermuda late Sunday and early Monday. Some further strengthening is
possible when Paulette turns northeastward and moves away from
Bermuda late Monday through Tuesday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles
(315 km).
The minimum central pressure recently measured by the Hurricane
Hunter aircraft was 981 mb (28.97 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Paulette can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC,
and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.
WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to reach Bermuda by Sunday
night or early Monday. Winds are expected to first reach tropical
storm strength Sunday afternoon or evening, making outside
preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
significant coastal flooding on Bermuda in areas of onshore winds.
Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves.
RAIN: Paulette will likely bring periods of heavy rain to Bermuda
Sunday through Monday, with rainfall of 3 to 6 inches likely.
SURF: Swells generated by Paulette are affecting portions of the
Leeward Islands, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, Bermuda, and the
east coast of the United States. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.