Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Sep 20 2024

For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Central Portion of the East Pacific:
An area of low pressure could form well to the southwest of the
southwestern coast of Mexico this weekend. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for some slow development of this
system, and a tropical depression could form during the next few
days while it slowly moves generally north to northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…50 percent.

Forecaster Kelly

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gordon):
Strong upper-level winds are keeping showers and thunderstorms
displaced away from the center of an area of low pressure (the
remnants of Gordon) located over a thousand miles southwest of the
Azores. Significant development of this system is not expected
while it meanders over the central subtropical Atlantic
during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…10 percent.

2. Central and Western Subtropical Atlantic (AL96):
An area of low pressure located about 675 miles northeast of the
northern Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers and a
few thunderstorms. Environmental conditions do not appear conducive
for significant development of this system during the next couple of
days while it drifts northwestward at about 5 mph over the central
or western subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…10 percent.

3. Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure could form by the early to middle
part of next week over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Thereafter,
gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical
depression could form as the system moves slowly to the north or
northwest over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and into the southern
Gulf of Mexico through the end of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…60 percent.

Forecaster Beven