BULLETIN
Hurricane Larry Intermediate Advisory Number 35A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122021
800 AM AST Thu Sep 09 2021

...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON BERMUDA LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.2N 61.5W
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.58 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Southeastern Newfoundland from St. Schotts to Pouch Cove

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Southeastern Newfoundland from Lamaline to west of St. Schotts
* Southeastern Newfoundland from north of Pouch Cove to Bonavista

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in southeastern Newfoundland should monitor the
progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Larry was located
near latitude 31.2 North, longitude 61.5 West.  Larry is moving
toward the north-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and a turn toward
the north with an increase in forward speed is forecast today, with 
a faster northeastward motion expected by Friday.  On the forecast 
track, the center of Larry should pass east of Bermuda today, and 
move near or over southeastern Newfoundland Friday night or early 
Saturday morning.

Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of
days, but Larry is expected to remain a hurricane during that time.
Larry should become an extratropical cyclone early Saturday, after
passing by Newfoundland, then weaken further while it passes
southeast of Greenland Sunday night.  Larry is expected to be
absorbed by a larger extratropical low east of Greenland Monday.

Larry is a large hurricane.  Hurricane-force winds extend outward 
up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force 
winds extending outward up to 220 miles (350 km) from the center.

The minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Reserve Unit 
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 968 mb (28.58 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Larry can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?key_messages

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda later 
today.

Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area in
southeastern Newfoundland Friday night, with tropical storm
conditions possible by late Friday.  Tropical storm conditions are
possible in the tropical storm watch area in southeastern 
Newfoundland by late Friday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Larry will continue to affect the Leeward
Islands, portions of the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and Bermuda
through the end of the week. Significant swells from Larry will
continue affecting the east coast of the United States and Atlantic
Canada through the end of the week. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.

RAINFALL:  Outer rain bands from Hurricane Larry may periodically
impact Bermuda Thursday. Significant rainfall totals are currently
not expected, however briefly heavy rain rates within these bands
may result in an inch or two of rain through Thursday.  Heavy rains
from Larry will move quickly across eastern Newfoundland Friday 
night, producing 1 to 2 inches of rain.

Tropical Storm Mindy Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132021
500 PM CDT Wed Sep 08 2021

...NOAA BUOY DATA INDICATES THAT MINDY IS A LITTLE STRONGER...

Recent data from NOAA buoy 42036 indicates that the maximum 
sustained winds in Mindy are now near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher 
gusts.


SUMMARY OF 500 PM CDT...2200 UTC...INFORMATION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.2N 86.1W
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM WSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Mindy Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132021
400 PM CDT Wed Sep 08 2021

...NEW TROPICAL STORM FORMS IN THE NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.0N 86.3W
ABOUT 90 MI...150 KM WSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the coast of the
Florida Panhandle from Mexico Beach to Steinhatchee River.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Mexico Beach to Steinhatchee River Florida

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case in the
next 6 to 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Mindy was
located near latitude 29.0 North, longitude 86.3 West. Mindy is
moving toward the northeast near 21 mph (33 km/h) and northeast to 
east-northeastward motion is expected to continue over the next 
several days. On the forecast track, the center of Mindy is 
expected to cross the coastline of the Florida Panhandle later 
tonight, and then move offshore of the southeastern United States 
into the western Atlantic Ocean by tomorrow.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. 
Little change in strength is expected before Mindy makes landfall in 
the Florida Panhandle tonight.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Mindy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone 
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, 
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?key_messages

RAINFALL:  Mindy is expected to produce storm total rainfall of
2 to 4 inches with maximum amounts of 6 inches across the Florida
Panhandle into southern portions of Georgia and South Carolina
through Thursday morning. This rainfall may produce isolated to
scattered flash, urban, and small stream flooding.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the coast
within the warning area later this evening and tonight.

TORNADOES:  A few isolated tornadoes are possible over portions of
the Florida Panhandle this evening into tomorrow morning.

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
320 PM EDT Wed Sep 8 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special outlook issued to update discussion of the disturbance in 
the Gulf of Mexico. 

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Larry, located over the central Atlantic several hundred miles 
east-southeast of Bermuda.

Updated:  Satellite and radar data indicate that shower and 
thunderstorm activity continues to gradually become better organized in association with an area of low pressure located about 115 miles southwest of Apalachicola, Florida. In addition, satellite-derived wind data indicate that the circulation has become somewhat better defined today. If these development trends continue, advisories will likely be initiated on this system as a tropical depression or tropical storm later this afternoon, and tropical storm warnings could be required for portions of the coast of the Florida Panhandle. After reaching the Florida Panhandle tonight, this system is expected to move across the southeastern United States and emerge over the western Atlantic by late Thursday, where environmental conditions appear unfavorable for additional development.  
Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall are likely across portions of the Florida panhandle and southern Georgia through 
Thursday, with localized flooding possible. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A tropical wave is expected to emerge off of the western coast of 
Africa in a few days.  Some development of this system is possible 
thereafter as it moves west-northwestward over the far eastern 
Atlantic. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
200 PM EDT Wed Sep 8 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Larry, located over the central Atlantic several hundred miles
east-southeast of Bermuda.

1. Showers and thunderstorms have become a little better organized
today in association with a surface trough and an upper-level
disturbance over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. In addition,
recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that a broad area of low pressure may be forming. The system is expected to move
northeastward through this evening, and a tropical depression could form before it reaches the northeastern Gulf coast tonight or early Thursday. The disturbance is then expected to cross the southeastern United States and emerge over the western Atlantic late this week, where environmental conditions appear unfavorable for additional development. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall are likely across portions of the Florida panhandle and southern Georgia through Thursday, with localized flooding possible.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

2. A tropical wave is expected to emerge off of the western coast of Africa in a few days.  Some development of this system is possible thereafter as it moves west-northwestward over the far eastern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

BULLETIN
Hurricane Larry Intermediate Advisory Number 32A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122021
200 PM AST Wed Sep 08 2021

...LARRY GETTING CLOSER TO BERMUDA...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.3N 58.9W
ABOUT 425 MI...685 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

Interests in southeastern Newfoundland should monitor the progress
of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Larry was located
near latitude 28.3 North, longitude 58.9 West. Larry is moving
toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general motion
is expected to continue through today.  A turn toward the
north-northwest and north with an increase in forward speed is
forecast on Thursday, with a faster northeastward motion expected by
Friday.  On the forecast track, the center of Larry should pass east
of Bermuda on Thursday, and move near or over southeastern
Newfoundland late Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Gradual weakening is forecast during the next few days, but
Larry is expected to remain a hurricane during that time.

Larry is a large hurricane.  Hurricane-force winds extend outward
up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force
winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 966 mb (28.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Larry can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?key_messages

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda beginning
tonight or early Thursday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Larry will continue to affect the Leeward 
Islands, portions of the Greater Antilles, and the Bahamas through 
midweek, and impact Bermuda through the end of the week. Significant 
swells from Larry will begin reaching the east coast of the United 
States and Atlantic Canada today and continue affecting these shores 
through the end of the week.  These swells are likely to cause 
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult 
products from your local weather office.

RAINFALL:  Outer rain bands from Hurricane Larry may periodically 
impact Bermuda tonight into Thursday.  Significant rainfall totals 
are currently not expected, however briefly heavy rain rates within 
these bands may result in an inch or two of rain through Thursday.

BULLETIN
Hurricane Larry Intermediate Advisory Number 31A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122021
800 AM AST Wed Sep 08 2021

...LARRY CAUSING DANGEROUS SWELLS ON THE WESTERN ATLANTIC COAST 
THIS WEEK...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.0N 57.7W
ABOUT 560 MI...905 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Bermuda Weather Service has issued a Tropical Storm Warning 
for Bermuda.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

Interests in southeastern Newfoundland should monitor the progress
of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), Hurricane Larry was located near latitude 
27.0 North, longitude 57.7 West. Larry is moving toward the 
northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this general motion is expected 
to continue through today.  A turn toward the north-northwest and 
north with an increase in forward speed is forecast on Thursday.  A 
faster northeastward motion is expected by Friday.  On the forecast 
track, the center of Larry should pass east of Bermuda on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Larry is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Gradual weakening is forecast during the next
several days, but Larry is expected to remain a hurricane during
that time.

Larry is a large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up
to 70 miles (110 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds
extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km).

The minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Hurricane 
Hunter aircraft is 966 mb (28.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Larry can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible on Bermuda beginning
tonight or early Thursday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Larry will continue to affect the Leeward
Islands, portions of the Greater Antilles, and the Bahamas through
midweek, and impact Bermuda through the end of the week.
Significant swells from Larry will begin reaching the east coast of
the United States and Atlantic Canada today and continue affecting
these shores through the end of the week.  These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please
consult products from your local weather office.

BULLETIN
Hurricane Larry Intermediate Advisory Number 29A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122021
800 PM AST Tue Sep 07 2021

...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS LARGE LARRY A LITTLE BETTER 
ORGANIZED...
...LIKELY TO PRODUCE DANGEROUS SWELLS OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
COAST THIS WEEK...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.4N 56.5W
ABOUT 690 MI...1115 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB...28.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of the large eye of Hurricane 
Larry was located  by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft
near latitude 25.4 North, longitude 56.5 West. Larry is moving
toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion
is expected to continue through Wednesday.  A turn toward the
north-northwest and north with an increase in forward speed is
forecast on Thursday.  On the forecast track, the center of Larry
should pass east of Bermuda on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Larry is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Slow weakening is forecast during the next
several days.

Larry is a large hurricane.  Hurricane-force winds extend outward
up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force
winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 965 mb (28.50 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Larry can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible on Bermuda beginning
late Wednesday or early Thursday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Larry will continue to affect the Lesser
Antilles, portions of the Greater Antilles, and the Bahamas through
midweek, and impact Bermuda through the end of the week. Significant
swells should reach the east coast of the United States and Atlantic
Canada by midweek and continue affecting these shores through the
end of the week.  These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your
local weather office.

BULLETIN
Hurricane Larry Advisory Number  27
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122021
500 AM AST Tue Sep 07 2021

...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS TO INVESTIGATE LARRY THIS MORNING...
...LARRY EXPECTED TO CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS ALONG
WESTERN ATLANTIC SHORES LATER THIS WEEK...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.8N 55.1W
ABOUT 830 MI...1340 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Larry. A
tropical storm watch could be required for the island today.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Larry was located 
near latitude 23.8 North, longitude 55.1 West.  Larry is moving 
toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this general motion 
is expected to continue through Wednesday.  A turn toward the 
north-northwest and north with an increase in forward speed is 
forecast on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher 
gusts.  Larry is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson 
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Some gradual weakening is forecast during the 
next several days.

Larry is a large hurricane.  Hurricane-force winds extend outward 
up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force 
winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 958 mb (28.29 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Larry can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

SURF:  Swells generated by Larry will continue to affect the Lesser
Antilles, portions of the Greater Antilles, and the Bahamas through
midweek, and impact Bermuda through the end of the week.
Significant swells should reach the east coast of the United States
and Atlantic Canada by midweek and continue affecting these shores
through the end of the week.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.