BULLETIN Hurricane Iota Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL312020 1000 PM EST Sun Nov 15 2020 ...IOTA FORECAST TO BECOME A DANGEROUS MAJOR HURRICANE SOON... ...EXPECTED TO BRING POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC WINDS, LIFE- THREATENING STORM SURGE, AND EXTREME RAINFALL IMPACTS TO CENTRAL AMERICA... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM EST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.3N 80.2W ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM E OF ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA COLOMBIA ABOUT 235 MI...375 KM ESE OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Providencia * The coast of Nicaragua from the Honduras/Nicaragua border to Sandy Bay Sirpi * The coast of northeastern Honduras from Punta Patuca to the Honduras/Nicaragua border A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * San Andres A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * San Andres * The coast of Nicaragua from south of Sandy Bay Sirpi to Bluefields * The northern coast of Honduras from west of Punta Patuca to Punta Castilla A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. Interests elsewhere in Nicaragua and Honduras should monitor the progress of Iota. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM EST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Iota was located near latitude 13.3 North, longitude 80.2 West. Iota is moving toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h). A westward to west-northwestward motion is expected through landfall. After landfall, a westward to west-southwestward motion is forecast. On the forecast track, the core of Iota will pass near or over Providencia island late tonight or Monday, and make landfall within the hurricane warning area in northeastern Nicaragua and eastern Honduras Monday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid strengthening is expected during the next 24 hours, and Iota is forecast to be an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane when it approaches Central America. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb (28.35 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Hurricane Iota can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41 KNHC and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml. RAINFALL: Iota is expected to produce the following rainfall accumulations through Friday morning: Honduras, northern Nicaragua, Guatemala, southern Belize: 8 to 16 inches (200 to 400 mm). Isolated maximum totals of 20-30 inches (500 to 750 mm) will be possible, especially from northeast Nicaragua into northern Honduras. Costa Rica and Panama: 4 to 8 inches (100 to 200 mm), with isolated maximum totals of 12 inches (300 mm). This rainfall would lead to significant, life-threatening flash flooding and river flooding, along with mudslides in areas of higher terrain. El Salvador and southern Nicaragua: 3 to 5 inches (75 to 125 mm), with isolated maximum totals of 10 inches (250 mm). Northern Colombia: An additional 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm), with isolated maximum totals near 12 inches (300 mm). WIND: Potentially catastrophic wind damage is expected where Iota's eyewall moves onshore within the Hurricane Warning area in Nicaragua and Honduras beginning late Monday with tropical storm conditions expected Monday morning. Hurricane conditions are expected on the island of Providencia overnight with tropical storm conditions expected during the next couple of hours. Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin on the island of San Andres later tonight with hurricane conditions possible there early Monday. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Tropical Storm Warning area in Nicaragua by late Monday and in the warning area in Honduras by Monday night. STORM SURGE: A life-threatening storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 10 to 15 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore winds along the coast of Nicaragua and Honduras. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. SURF: Swells generated by Iota will affect much of the coast of Central America, the Yucatan Peninsula, Jamaica, and Colombia during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
Monthly Archives: November 2020
11/15 Football Coaches Poll
The new Coaches Poll has just been released following the latest weekend of college football action.
Most of the ranked teams from the Southeastern Conference were off this weekend due to postponements with Florida being the only one to defend its poll position on Saturday. Not only did the Gators win against Arkansas, they did so convincingly, beating the Razorbacks 63-35 in Gainesville.
Alabama, Texas A&M, Georgia and Auburn were all off this weekend.
Here is the updated Coaches Poll top 25 rankings released on Sunday:
#1 Alabama
#2 Notre Dame
#3 Ohio State
#4 Clemson
#5 Florida
#6 Texas A&M
#7 Cincinnati
#8 BYU
#9 Miami
#10 Indiana
#11 Georgia
#12 Wisconsin
#13 Oregon
#14 Oklahoma State
#15 Marshall
#16 Iowa State
#17 Oklahoma
#18 Coastal Carolina
#19 USC
#20 Northwestern
#21 Auburn
#22 Liberty
#23 Texas
#24 North Carolina
#25 Louisiana
Hurricane Iota Strengthens. Now Category 2
BULLETIN
Hurricane Iota Intermediate Advisory Number 10A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL312020
700 PM EST Sun Nov 15 2020
…IOTA STRENGTHENS TO A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE…
…EXPECTED TO BRING POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC WINDS, LIFE-
THREATENING STORM SURGE, AND EXTREME RAINFALL IMPACTS TO
CENTRAL AMERICA…
SUMMARY OF 700 PM EST…0000 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…13.3N 79.8W
ABOUT 110 MI…175 KM E OF ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA COLOMBIA
ABOUT 255 MI…410 KM ESE OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…100 MPH…155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…964 MB…28.47 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
* Providencia
* The coast of Nicaragua from the Honduras/Nicaragua border to
Sandy Bay Sirpi
* The coast of northeastern Honduras from Punta Patuca to the
Honduras/Nicaragua border
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
* San Andres
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* San Andres
* The coast of Nicaragua from south of Sandy Bay Sirpi to Bluefields
* The northern coast of Honduras from west of Punta Patuca to Punta
Castilla
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
Interests elsewhere in Nicaragua and Honduras should monitor the
progress of Iota.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 700 PM EST (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Iota was located
near latitude 13.3 North, longitude 79.8 West. Iota is moving toward
the west near 9 mph (15 km/h). A westward to west-northwestward
motion is expected through landfall. After landfall, a westward to
west-southwestward motion is forecast. On the forecast track, the
core of Iota will pass near or over Providencia island late tonight
or Monday, and make landfall within the hurricane warning area in
northeastern Nicaragua and eastern Honduras Monday night.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 100 mph (155 km/h)
with higher gusts. Rapid strengthening is expected during the next
24 hours, and Iota is forecast to be an extremely dangerous category
4 hurricane when it approaches Central America.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125
miles (205 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure based on data from the Air
Force Hurricane Hunters is 964 mb (28.47 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Hurricane Iota can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41 KNHC
and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml.
RAINFALL: Iota is expected to produce the following rainfall
accumulations through Friday morning:
Honduras, northern Nicaragua, Guatemala, southern Belize: 8 to 16
inches (200 to 400 mm). Isolated maximum totals of 20-30 inches (500
to 750 mm) will be possible, especially from northeast Nicaragua
into northern Honduras.
Costa Rica and Panama: 4 to 8 inches (100 to 200 mm), with isolated
maximum totals of 12 inches (300 mm).
This rainfall would lead to significant, life-threatening flash
flooding and river flooding, along with mudslides in areas of higher
terrain.
El Salvador and southern Nicaragua: 3 to 5 inches (75 to 125 mm),
with isolated maximum totals of 10 inches (250 mm).
Northern Colombia: An additional 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm), with
isolated maximum totals near 12 inches (300 mm).
WIND: Potentially catastrophic wind damage is expected where Iota’s
eyewall moves onshore within the Hurricane Warning area in Nicaragua
and Honduras area beginning late Monday with tropical storm
conditions expected Monday morning. Hurricane conditions are
expected on the island of Providencia overnight with tropical storm
conditions expected this evening. Tropical storm conditions are
expected to begin on the island of San Andres later this evening
with hurricane conditions possible there early Monday. Tropical
storm conditions are expected in the Tropical Storm Warning area in
Nicaragua by late Monday and in the warning area in Honduras by
Monday night.
STORM SURGE: A life-threatening storm surge will raise water levels
by as much as 10 to 15 feet above normal tide levels in areas of
onshore winds along the coast of Nicaragua and Honduras. Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
SURF: Swells generated by Iota will affect much of the coast of
Central America, the Yucatan Peninsula, Jamaica, and Colombia during
the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.
Iota to be a Major ‘Cane. Advisory # 9
BULLETIN Hurricane Iota Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL312020 1000 AM EST Sun Nov 15 2020 ...IOTA EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE... ...EXPECTED TO BRING POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC WINDS, A LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND EXTREME RAINFALL IMPACTS TO CENTRAL AMERICA... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM EST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.3N 78.5W ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM E OF ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA COLOMBIA ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM ESE OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Providencia * The coast of Nicaragua from the Honduras/Nicaragua border to Sandy Bay Sirpi * The coast of northeastern Honduras from Punta Patuca to the Honduras/Nicaragua border A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * San Andres A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * San Andres * The coast of Nicaragua from south of Sandy Bay Sirpi to Bluefields * The northern coast of Honduras from west of Punta Patuca to Punta Castilla A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. Interests elsewhere in Nicaragua and Honduras should monitor the progress of Iota. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 AM EST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Iota was located near latitude 13.3 North, longitude 78.5 West. Iota is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next day or so until landfall occurs. After landfall, a westward to west-southwestward motion is forecast. On the forecast track, the core of Iota will move across the southwestern Caribbean Sea today, pass near or just north of Providencia island on Monday, and approach the coasts of northeastern Nicaragua and eastern Honduras within the hurricane warning area late Monday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid strengthening is expected during the next 36 hours, and Iota is forecast to be an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane when it approaches Central America. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 978 mb (28.88 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Hurricane Iota can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41 KNHC and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml. RAINFALL: Iota is expected to produce the following rainfall accumulations through Friday morning: Honduras, northern Nicaragua, Guatemala, southern Belize: 8 to 16 inches (200 to 400 mm). Isolated maximum totals of 20-30 inches (500 to 750 mm) will be possible, especially from northeast Nicaragua into northern Honduras. Costa Rica and Panama: 4 to 8 inches (100 to 200 mm), with isolated maximum totals of 12 inches (300 mm). This rainfall would lead to significant, life-threatening flash flooding and river flooding, along with mudslides in areas of higher terrain. El Salvador and southern Nicaragua: 3 to 5 inches (75 to 125 mm), with isolated maximum totals of 10 inches (250 mm). Northern Colombia: An additional 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm), with isolated maximum totals near 12 inches (300 mm). WIND: Potentially catastrophic wind damage is expected where Eta's eyewall moves onshore within the Hurricane Warning in Nicaragua and Honduras area beginning late Monday with tropical storm conditions beginning Monday morning. Hurricane conditions are expected on the island of Providencia by late tonight with tropical storm conditions expected beginning this evening. Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin on the island of San Andres this evening with hurricane conditions possible there early Monday. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Tropical Storm Warning area in Nicaragua by late Monday and in the warning area in Honduras by Monday night. STORM SURGE: A life-threatening storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 10 to 15 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore winds along the coast of Nicaragua and Honduras. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. SURF: Swells generated by Iota will affect portions of the coast of Colombia, and the southern coasts of Hispaniola and Jamaica during the next day or two. Swells will begin to reach the coasts of Nicaragua and Honduras tonight and Monday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
Iota Rapidly Intensifies. Now a Hurricane
BULLETIN Hurricane Iota Intermediate Advisory Number 8A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL312020 700 AM EST Sun Nov 15 2020 ...IOTA CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN... ...EXPECTED TO BRING POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC WINDS, A LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, AND RAINFALL IMPACTS TO CENTRAL AMERICA... SUMMARY OF 700 AM EST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.2N 77.8W ABOUT 240 MI...390 KM E OF ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA COLOMBIA ABOUT 380 MI...615 KM ESE OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Providencia * The coast of Nicaragua from the Honduras/Nicaragua border to Sandy Bay Sirpi * The coast of northeastern Honduras from Punta Patuca to the Honduras/Nicaragua border A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * San Andres A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * San Andres * The coast of Nicaragua from south of Sandy Bay Sirpi to Bluefields * The northern coast of Honduras from west of Punta Patuca to Punta Castilla A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. Interests elsewhere in Nicaragua and Honduras should monitor the progress of Iota. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 700 AM EST (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Iota was located near latitude 13.2 North, longitude 77.8 West. Iota is moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next couple of days until landfall occurs in Central America. On the forecast track, Iota will move across the southwestern Caribbean Sea today, pass near or over Providencia island on Monday, and approach the coasts of Nicaragua and northeastern Honduras Monday night. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid strengthening is expected during the next day or two, and Iota is forecast to be a major hurricane when it approaches Central America. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 982 mb (29.00 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Hurricane Iota can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41 KNHC and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml. RAINFALL: Iota is expected to produce the following rainfall accumulations through Thursday: Honduras, northern Nicaragua, Guatemala, southern Belize: 8 to 16 inches (200 to 400 mm). Isolated maximum totals of 20-30 inches (500 to 750 mm) will be possible, especially from northeast Nicaragua into northern Honduras. Costa Rica, Panama, and northern Colombia: 4 to 8 inches (100 to 200 mm), with isolated maximum totals of 12 inches (300 mm). This rainfall would lead to significant, life-threatening flash flooding and river flooding, along with mudslides in areas of higher terrain. El Salvador and southern Nicaragua: 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm), with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches (200 mm). Jamaica: 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm). WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected on the island of Providencia by late tonight with tropical storm conditions expected beginning this evening. Hurricane conditions are expected within the Hurricane Warning area in Nicaragua and Honduras by late Monday. Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin on the island of San Andres this afternoon or evening with hurricane conditions possible there tonight or early Monday. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Tropical Storm Warning area in Nicaragua by late Monday and in the warning area in Honduras by Monday night. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 9 to 13 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore winds along the coast of Nicaragua and Honduras. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. SURF: Swells generated by Iota will affect portions of the coast of Colombia, and the southern coasts of Hispaniola and Jamaica during the next day or two. Swells will begin to reach the coasts of Nicaragua and Honduras tonight and Monday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
Tropical Storm Iota. Advisory #7
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Iota Advisory Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL312020
1000 PM EST Sat Nov 14 2020
…IOTA ALMOST A HURRICANE…
…HURRICANE WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA
AND HONDURAS…
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM EST…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…12.7N 77.0W
ABOUT 365 MI…590 KM S OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
ABOUT 445 MI…715 KM ESE OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…70 MPH…110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH…7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…990 MB…29.24 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The government of Nicaragua has upgraded the Hurricane Watch to a
Hurricane Warning from Sandy Bay Sirpi to the Honduras/Nicaragua
border and issued a Tropical Storm Warning from Sandy Bay Sirpi to
Bluefields.
The government of Honduras has upgraded the Hurricane Watch to a
Hurricane Warning from the Honduras/Nicaragua border to Punta
Patuca, and has upgraded the Tropical Storm Watch to a Tropical
Storm Warning from Punta Patuca to Punta Castilla.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
* Providencia
* The coast of Nicaragua from the Honduras/Nicaragua border to
Sandy Bay Sirpi
* The coast of northeastern Honduras from Punta Patuca to the
Honduras/Nicaragua border
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
* San Andres
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* San Andres
* The coast of Nicaragua from south of Sandy Bay Sirpi to Bluefields
* The northern coast of Honduras from west of Punta Patuca to Punta
Castilla
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of
tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside
preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
Interests elsewhere in Nicaragua and Honduras should monitor the
progress of Iota.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1000 PM EST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Iota was
located near latitude 12.7 North, longitude 77.0 West. Iota is
moving toward the west near 5 mph (7 km/h). A general westward
motion is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track,
Iota will move across the southwest Caribbean Sea tonight and
Sunday, pass near or over Providencia island on Monday and approach
the coasts of Nicaragua and northeastern Honduras Monday evening.
Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts. Rapid strengthening is expected during the next day or two,
and Iota is forecast to be a major hurricane when it approaches
Central America.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
RAINFALL: Iota is expected to produce the following rainfall
accumulations through Thursday:
Honduras, northern Nicaragua, eastern Guatemala, southern Belize: 8
to 16 inches (200 to 400 mm). Isolated maximum totals of 20-30
inches (500 to 750 mm) will be possible, especially from northeast
Nicaragua into northern Honduras.
Costa Rica, Panama, and northern Colombia: 4 to 8 inches (100 to 200
mm), with isolated maximum totals of 12 inches (300 mm).
This rainfall would lead to significant, life-threatening flash
flooding and river flooding, along with mudslides in areas of higher
terrain.
El Salvador, southern Nicaragua and southern Honduras: 2 to 4 inches
(50 to 100 mm), with isolated maximum totals of 6 inches (150 mm).
Jamaica: 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm).
WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected on the island of
Providencia by late Sunday night with tropical storm conditions
expected beginning Sunday evening. Hurricane conditions are
expected within the Hurricane Warning area in Nicaragua and
Honduras by late Monday. Tropical storm conditions are expected to
begin on the island of San Andres late Sunday or Sunday night with
hurricane conditions possible there Sunday night or early Monday.
Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Tropical Storm
Warning area in Nicaragua by late Monday and in the warning area in
Honduras by Monday night.
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as
much as 9 to 13 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore
winds along the coast of Nicaragua and Honduras. Near the coast,
the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
SURF: Swells generated by Iota will affect portions of the coast of
Colombia, and the southern coasts of Hispaniola and Jamaica during
the next day or two. Swells will begin to reach the coasts of
Nicaragua and Honduras on Monday. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.
Tropical Storm Iota. Advisory # 4
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Iota Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL312020
400 AM EST Sat Nov 14 2020
…IOTA MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AND FORECAST TO
STRENGTHEN…
…RISK OF DANGEROUS WINDS, STORM SURGE, AND RAINFALL IMPACTS IN
CENTRAL AMERICA BEGINNING MONDAY…
SUMMARY OF 400 AM EST…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…13.5N 74.8W
ABOUT 340 MI…545 KM SSE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
ABOUT 570 MI…920 KM E OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WSW OR 245 DEGREES AT 5 MPH…7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005 MB…29.68 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Interests in Nicaragua and Honduras should monitor the progress of
Iota, and a Hurricane Watch will likely be issued later today for
portions of these countries. Interests in San Andres and
Providencia should also monitor the progress of this system.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 400 AM EST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Iota was
located near latitude 13.5 North, longitude 74.8 West. Iota is
moving toward the west-southwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). A westward
motion with some increase in forward speed is expected to begin
later today and continue through Monday. On the forecast track, Iota
will move across the central Caribbean Sea during the next day or
so, and approach the coasts of Nicaragua and northeastern Honduras
on Monday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Steady to rapid strengthening is likely over the weekend, and Iota
is forecast to be a major hurricane when it approaches Central
America.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
to the northeast of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Rainfall: Iota is expected to produce the following rainfall
accumulations through Wednesday:
Honduras, northern Nicaragua, eastern Guatemala, southern Belize: 8
to 16 inches (200 to 400 mm). Isolated maximum totals of 20-30
inches (500 to 750 mm) will be possible, especially from northeast
Nicaragua into northern Honduras.
Costa Rica, Panama, and northern Colombia: 4 to 8 inches (100 to
200 mm), with isolated maximum totals of 12 inches (300 mm).
This rainfall would lead to significant, life-threatening flash
flooding and river flooding, along with mudslides in areas of higher
terrain.
El Salvador and southern Nicaragua: 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm),
with isolated maximum totals of 6 inches (150 mm).
Jamaica: 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm).
SURF: Swells generated by Iota will affect portions of the coast of
Colombia, and the southern coasts of Hispaniola and Jamaica during
the next day or two. Swells will begin to reach the coasts of
Nicaragua and Honduras on Monday. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.
Tropical Storm Iota. Advisory # 2
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Iota Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL312020
400 PM EST Fri Nov 13 2020
…DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM IOTA..
…RISK OF DANGEROUS WINDS, STORM SURGE, AND RAINFALL IMPACTS IN
CENTRAL AMERICA BEGINNING SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY…
SUMMARY OF 400 PM EST…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…13.8N 74.3W
ABOUT 335 MI…540 KM SSE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 3 MPH…6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1006 MB…29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warning in effect.
Interests in Nicaragua and Honduras should monitor the progress of
this system. A Hurricane Watch may be required for a portion of
that area tonight or early Saturday.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
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At 400 PM EST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Iota was
located near latitude 13.8 North, longitude 74.3 West. Iota is
moving toward the west-southwest near 3 mph (6 km/h), and this
motion is expected to continue through early Saturday. A westward
to west-northwestward motion at a slightly faster forward speed is
expected to begin by late Saturday and continue through Monday. On
the forecast track, Iota will move across the central Caribbean Sea
during the next day or so, and approach the coasts of Nicaragua and
northeastern Honduras late Sunday and Monday.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h)
with higher gusts. Steady to rapid strengthening is likely over
the weekend, and the system is forecast to be a major hurricane
when it approaches Central America.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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Rainfall: Through Wednesday morning, Iota is expected to produce
4 to 8 inches of rain, with local 12 inch totals, across portions
of northern Colombia, Panama and Costa Rica. Across Jamaica and
southern Haiti, 2 to 4 inches are expected, with local amounts up
to 6 inches. Across remaining sections of Central America, the
system has the potential to produce 20 to 30 inches of rain with a
focus across northern Nicaragua and Honduras. This rainfall would
lead to significant, life-threatening flash flooding and river
flooding, along with landslides in areas of higher terrain.
SURF: Swells generated by Iota will begin affecting portions
of the coast of Colombia, and the southern coasts of Hispaniola and
Jamaica during the next day or so. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
Tropical Depression 31. Advisory # 1
BULLETIN Tropical Depression Thirty-One Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL312020 1100 AM EDT Fri Nov 13 2020 ...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA... ...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN AND APPROACH CENTRAL AMERICA AS A HURRICANE EARLY NEXT WEEK... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.2N 74.3W ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM SSE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warning in effect. Interests in Nicaragua and Honduras should monitor the progress of this system. A Hurricane Watch may be required for a portion of that area tonight. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Thirty-One was located near latitude 14.2 North, longitude 74.3 West. The depression is moving toward the west-southwest near 7 mph (11 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through early Saturday. A westward to west-northwestward motion at a slightly faster forward speed is expected to begin by late Saturday and continue through early Monday. On the forecast track, the system will move across the central Caribbean Sea during the next day or so, and approach the coasts of Nicaragua and northeastern Honduras late Sunday and Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The depression is forecast to strengthen into a tropical storm later today or tonight. Additional strengthening is likely over the weekend, and the system could be near major hurricane strength when it approaches Central America. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Rainfall: Through Wednesday morning, Tropical Depression Thirty-One is expected to produce 4 to 8 inches of rain, with local 12 inch totals, across portions of northern Columbia, Panama and Costa Rica. Across Jamaica and southern Haiti, 2 to 4 inches are expected, with local amounts up to 6 inches. Across remaining sections of Central America, the system has the potential to produce 20 to 30 inches of rain with a focus across northern Nicaragua and Honduras. This rainfall would lead to significant, life-threatening flash flooding and river flooding, along with landslides in areas of higher terrain.
Tropical Storm Eta. Advisory # 51
BULLETIN Tropical Storm Eta Advisory Number 51 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL292020 1000 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2020 ...CENTER OF ETA JUST OFF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST... ...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS OCCURRING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM EST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.3N 79.0W ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM ESE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM EST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Eta was located near latitude 32.3 North, longitude 79.0 West. Eta is moving toward the northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h) and this heading with an increase in forward speed is expected during the next day or two. On the forecast track, Eta is expected to gradually pull away from the southeast U.S. coast. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Eta could intensify a little as a non-tropical cyclone during the next day or so before it becomes absorbed by a larger non-tropical cyclone on Saturday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. An observation at Folly Beach Pier in South Carolina recently reported a wind gust of 54 mph (87 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Rain bands extending southwest of Etas center will produce an additional 1 to 2 inches over portions of South Florida tonight, where isolated maximum storm total accumulations will range between 20 and 25 inches. Localized flash and urban flooding will be possible overnight, especially across previously inundated areas. Minor river flooding is expected across portions of West Florida lasting into the weekend. SURF: Swells generated by Eta will affect portions of the southeastern United States coast through Friday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.