BULLETIN Hurricane Delta Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL262020 1100 AM EDT Tue Oct 06 2020 ...REPORTS FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE DELTA IS NOW A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE... ...EXPECTED TO BE AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WHEN IT REACHES THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.2N 82.6W ABOUT 320 MI...520 KM ESE OF COZUMEL MEXICO ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM SW OF GRAND CAYMAN MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Tulum to Dzilam Mexico * Cozumel A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Cayman Islands including Little Cayman and Cayman Brac * Cuba province of Pinar del Rio * Isle of Youth * Punta Herrero to Tulum Mexico * Dzilam to Progresso Mexico A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Cuba province of La Habana A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Delta was located near latitude 18.2 North, longitude 82.6 West. Delta is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h). A west- northwestward to northwestward motion is expected over the next couple of days. A slower northwestward to north-northwest motion is forecast to begin by late Wednesday or Wednesday night. On the forecast track, the center of Delta is expected to continue to pass southwest of the Cayman Islands through early this afternoon, and move over the northeastern portion of the Yucatan peninsula late tonight or early Wednesday. Delta is forecast to move over the southern Gulf of Mexico Wednesday afternoon, and be over the southern or central Gulf of Mexico through Thursday. Reports from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Delta is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours, and Delta is forecast to be an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane when it reaches the Yucatan peninsula Wednesday. Although some weakening is likely when Delta moves over the Yucatan peninsula, re-strengthening is forecast when the hurricane moves over the southern Gulf of Mexico. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km). The estimated minimum central pressure from NOAA reconnaissance aircraft data is 955 mb (28.20 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Delta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml. STORM SURGE: An extremely dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 6 to 9 feet above normal tide levels along coast of the Yucatan peninsula within the hurricane warning area, near and to right of where the center makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of the the Cayman Islands today. In the Yucatan Peninsula, hurricane conditions are expected in the warning area early Wednesday, with tropical storm conditions beginning later today or tonight. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area tonight and Wednesday. In Cuba, tropical storm conditions are expected tonight in the warning area and possible in the watch area near the same time. RAINFALL: Delta is expected to produce 4 to 6 inches of rain, with isolated maximum totals of 10 inches, across portions of the northern Yucatan Peninsula through midweek. This rainfall may result in areas of significant flash flooding. Over the next few days, Delta is expected to produce 2 to 4 inches of rain, with isolated higher amounts, across portions of the Cayman Islands and western Cuba. This rainfall may result in areas of flash flooding and mudslides. Later this week, Delta is expected to bring heavy rainfall and flash and urban flooding to portions of the central Gulf Coast, Tennessee Valley, and southeastern United States. SURF: Swells generated by Delta will affected land areas around the northwestern Caribbean Sea for the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
Monthly Archives: October 2020
Hurricane Delta Strengthens
BULLETIN Hurricane Delta Intermediate Advisory Number 7A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL262020 800 AM EDT Tue Oct 06 2020 ...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTS THAT DELTA CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN... ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA STARTING EARLY WEDNESDAY... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.8N 82.0W ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM ESE OF COZUMEL MEXICO ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM SSW OF GRAND CAYMAN MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Tulum to Dzilam Mexico * Cozumel A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Cayman Islands including Little Cayman and Cayman Brac * Cuba province of Pinar del Rio * Isle of Youth * Punta Herrero to Tulum * Dzilam to Progresso A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Cuba province of La Habana A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Delta was located by a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 82.0 West. Delta is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). A faster northwestward motion is expected to begin later today through Wednesday night. On the forecast track, the center of Delta is expected to continue to pass southwest of the Cayman Islands this morning, and move over the northeastern portion of the Yucatan peninsula early Wednesday. Delta is forecast to move over the southern Gulf of Mexico Wednesday afternoon, and be over the southern or central Gulf of Mexico through Thursday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Delta is expected to be a major hurricane when it moves over the Yucatan Peninsula Wednesday and over the Gulf of Mexico through Thursday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km). The estimated minimum central pressure from NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 962 mb (28.41 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Delta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml. STORM SURGE: An extremely dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 6 to 9 feet above normal tide levels along coast of the Yucatan peninsula within the hurricane warning area, near and to right of where the center makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Cayman Islands today. In the Yucatan Peninsula, hurricane conditions are expected in the warning area early Wednesday, with tropical storm conditions beginning later today or tonight. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area tonight and Wednesday. In Cuba, tropical storm conditions are expected tonight in the warning area and possible in the watch area near the same time. RAINFALL: Delta is expected to produce 4 to 6 inches of rain, with isolated maximum totals of 10 inches, across portions of the northern Yucatan Peninsula through midweek. This rainfall may result in areas of significant flash flooding. Over the next few days, Delta is expected to produce 2 to 4 inches of rain, with isolated higher amounts, across portions of the Cayman Islands and western Cuba. This rainfall may result in areas of flash flooding and mudslides. Later this week, Delta is expected to bring heavy rainfall to portions of the central Gulf Coast, Tennessee Valley, and southeastern United States. SURF: Swells generated by Delta will be affected land areas around the northwestern Caribbean Sea for the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
Delta Now A Hurricane. Advisory # 5A
BULLETIN
Hurricane Delta Intermediate Advisory Number 5A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL262020
800 PM EDT Mon Oct 05 2020
…DATA FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT DELTA
HAS BECOME A HURRICANE…
SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT…0000 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…16.5N 79.6W
ABOUT 150 MI…245 KM SSW OF NEGRIL JAMAICA
ABOUT 220 MI…355 KM SSE OF GRAND CAYMAN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH…120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 MPH…13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…980 MB…28.94 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
* Cuba province of Pinar del Rio
* Tulum to Rio Lagartos Mexico
* Cozumel
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
* Cuban province of Artemisa
* Isle of Youth
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Cayman Islands including Little Cayman and Cayman Brac
* Isle of Youth
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Cuba province of La Habana
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of
tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside
preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Delta was located
near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 79.6 West. Delta is moving
toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A faster
northwestward motion is expected Tuesday through Wednesday night.
On the forecast track, the center of Delta is expected to pass
southwest of the Cayman Islands early Tuesday, and approach the
northeastern portion of the Yucatan peninsula and the Yucatan
Channel Tuesday afternoon or evening. Delta is forecast to move
over the southern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday night or early Wednesday,
and be over the south-central Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday and
Wednesday night.
Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the
maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional rapid strengthening is expected
during the next day or so, and Delta is expected to be a major
hurricane when it nears the Yucatan Peninsula.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (25 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend up to 70 miles (110
km) from the center.
The minimum central pressure estimated from data provided by the
NOAA reconnaissance aircraft is 980 mb (28.94 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Delta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41
KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml.
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by
as much as 4 to 7 feet above normal tide levels along coast of the
Yucatan peninsula within the hurricane warning area, near and to
right of where the center makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge
will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Cayman Islands
later tonight. Hurricane conditions are expected within the
hurricane warning area in the Yucatan Peninsula Tuesday night, with
tropical storm conditions beginning late Tuesday. Hurricane
conditions are expected within a portion of the the Hurricane
Warning area in western Cuba by late Tuesday night, with tropical
storm conditions expected beginning late Tuesday. Hurricane
conditions are possible on the Isle of Youth beginning Tuesday
afternoon with tropical storm conditions expected by early Tuesday.
Tropical storm conditions are possible in the Tropical Storm Watch
area in Cuba on Tuesday.
RAINFALL: Through midweek, Delta is expected to produce 3 to 6
inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches across
Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, western Cuba and the northern Yucatan
Peninsula. This rainfall could lead to significant flash floods and
mudslides.
Later this week into the weekend, Delta is expected to bring heavy
rainfall across portions of the central Gulf Coast into the
southeastern United States.
Tropical Storm Delta. Advisory # 5
BULLETIN Tropical Storm Delta Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL262020 500 PM EDT Mon Oct 05 2020 ...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS DELTA RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING... ...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR THE NORTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.2N 79.4W ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM SSW OF NEGRIL JAMAICA ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM SSE OF GRAND CAYMAN MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has issued a Hurricane Warning for the coast of the Yucatan peninsula from Tulum northward and westward to Rio Lagartos, including Cozumel. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Cuba province of Pinar del Rio * Tulum to Rio Lagartos Mexico * Cozumel A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Cuban province of Artemisa * Isle of Youth A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Cayman Islands including Little Cayman and Cayman Brac * Isle of Youth A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Cuba province of La Habana A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Delta was located near latitude 16.2 North, longitude 79.4 West. Delta is moving toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h), and a turn toward the west-northwest should occur this evening. A faster northwestward motion is expected Tuesday through Wednesday night. On the forecast track, the center of Delta is expected to pass southwest of the Cayman Islands early Tuesday, and approach the northeastern portion of the Yucatan peninsula and the Yucatan Channel Tuesday afternoon or evening. Delta is forecast to move into the southern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday night or early Wednesday, and be over the south-central Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday and Wednesday night. Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the maximum sustained winds have rapidly increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional rapid strengthening is expected during the next day or so, and Delta is expected to be a major hurricane when it nears the Yucatan Peninsula. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The minimum central pressure estimated from NOAA reconnaissance aircraft data is 983 mb (29.03 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Delta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 4 to 7 feet above normal tide levels along coast of the Yucatan peninsula within the hurricane warning area, near and to right of where the center makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Cayman Islands beginning tonight. Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane warning area in the Yucatan Peninsula Tuesday night, with tropical storm conditions beginning late Tuesday. Hurricane conditions are expected within a portion of the the Hurricane Warning area in western Cuba by late Tuesday night, with tropical storm conditions expected beginning late Tuesday. Hurricane conditions are possible on the Isle of Youth beginning Tuesday afternoon with tropical storm conditions expected by early Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the Tropical Storm Watch area in Cuba on Tuesday. RAINFALL: Through midweek, Delta is expected to produce 3 to 6 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches across Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, western Cuba and the northern Yucatan Peninsula. This rainfall could lead to significant flash floods and mudslides. Later this week into the weekend, Delta is expected to bring heavy rainfall across portions of the central Gulf Coast into the southeastern United States.
Tropical Storm Delta. Advisory # 4A
BULLETIN Tropical Storm Delta Intermediate Advisory Number 4A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL262020 200 PM EDT Mon Oct 05 2020 ...DELTA QUICKLY STRENGTHENING OVER THE CARIBBEAN... ...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT EN ROUTE TO THE STORM... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.1N 79.2W ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM SSW OF NEGRIL JAMAICA ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM SSE OF GRAND CAYMAN MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Cuba province of Pinar del Rio A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Cuban province of Artemisa * Isle of Youth A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Cayman Islands including Little Cayman and Cayman Brac * Isle of Youth A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Cuba province of La Habana A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests in the northeastern portion of the Yucatan peninsula should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Delta was located near latitude 16.1 North, longitude 79.2 West. Delta is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h), and a turn toward the west-northwest is forecast later today. A faster northwestward motion is expected on Tuesday and Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Delta is expected to move away from Jamaica later today, move near or over the Cayman Islands early Tuesday, and approach western Cuba and the Yucatan Channel Tuesday afternoon or evening. Delta is forecast to move into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday night, and be over the south-central Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected during the next few days, and Delta is expected to become a hurricane tonight or Tuesday before it nears western Cuba. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Delta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels along the south coast of western Cuba near and to right of where the center makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Cayman Islands beginning late today or tonight. Hurricane conditions are expected within the Hurricane Warning area in western Cuba by late Tuesday afternoon, with tropical storm conditions expected by Tuesday morning. Hurricane conditions are possible on the Isle of Youth beginning Tuesday afternoon with tropical storm conditions expected by early Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the Tropical Storm Watch area in Cuba on Tuesday. RAINFALL: Through midweek, Delta is expected to produce 4 to 6 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches across Jamaica, the Cayman Islands and western Cuba. This rainfall could lead to significant flash floods and mudslides.
Tropical Storm Delta. Advisory # 4
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Delta Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL262020
1100 AM EDT Mon Oct 05 2020
…DELTA STRENGTHENING OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA…
…EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON TUESDAY…
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…16.4N 78.6W
ABOUT 135 MI…215 KM S OF NEGRIL JAMAICA
ABOUT 265 MI…425 KM SE OF GRAND CAYMAN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 MPH…11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1002 MB…29.59 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The government of Cuba has issued a Hurricane Warning for the Cuban
province of Pinar del Rio. A Tropical Storm Warning was also been
issued for the Isle of Youth.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
* Cuba province of Pinar del Rio
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
* Cuban province of Artemisa
* Isle of Youth
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Cayman Islands including Little Cayman and Cayman Brac
* Isle of Youth
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Cuba province of La Habana
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of
tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside
preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Delta was
located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 78.6 West. Delta is
moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h), and a turn toward the
west-northwest is forecast later today. A faster northwestward
motion is expected on Tuesday and Wednesday. On the forecast
track, the center of Delta is expected to move away from Jamaica
later today, move near or over the Cayman Islands early Tuesday,
and approach western Cuba Tuesday afternoon or evening. Delta is
forecast to move into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday
night, and be over the south-central Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected during the
next few days, and Delta is expected to become a hurricane on
Tuesday before it nears western Cuba.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Delta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41
KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml.
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by
as much as 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels along the south
coast of western Cuba near and to right of where the center makes
landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large
and dangerous waves.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Cayman Islands
beginning late today or tonight. Hurricane conditions are expected
within the Hurricane Warning area in western Cuba by late Tuesday
afternoon, with tropical storm conditions expected by Tuesday
morning. Hurricane conditions are possible on the Isle of Youth
beginning Tuesday afternoon with tropical storm conditions expected
by early Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the
Tropical Storm Watch area in Cuba on Tuesday.
RAINFALL: Through midweek, Delta is expected to produce 4 to 6
inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches across
Jamaica, the Cayman Islands and western Cuba. This rainfall could
lead to significant flash floods and mudslides.
Tropical Storm Delta. Advisory # 3A
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Delta Intermediate Advisory Number 3A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL262020
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 05 2020
…TROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO A TROPICAL STORM…
…ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING LIKELY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS…
SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT…1200 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…16.4N 78.4W
ABOUT 130 MI…210 KM S OF NEGRIL JAMAICA
ABOUT 270 MI…440 KM SE OF GRAND CAYMAN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1004 MB…29.65 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
* Cuban provinces of Pinar del Rio and Artemisa
* Isle of Youth
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Cayman Islands including Little Cayman and Cayman Brac
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Cuba province of La Habana
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Delta was
located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 78.4 West. The
storm is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and
this general motion should continue for the next day or so. A
faster northwestward motion is expected on Tuesday and Wednesday.
On the forecast track, the center of Delta is expected to
move away from Jamaica later today, move near or over the Cayman
Islands later tonight, and approach the Isle of Youth and western
Cuba Tuesday afternoon or evening. Delta is forecast to move into
the southeastern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday night or early Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected during the
next few days, and the tropical storm is expected to be a hurricane
when it moves near or over western Cuba.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Tropical Storm Delta can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41
KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml.
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by
as much as 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate
coast of the Isle of Youth and along the south coast of western
Cuba near and to right of where the center makes landfall. Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.
RAINFALL: Through midweek, Delta is expected to produce 3 to
5 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches across
Jamaica and western Cuba. This rainfall could lead to significant
flash floods and mudslides. Over the Cayman Islands, 2 to 4 inches
of rainfall will be possible with this system.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Cayman Islands
beginning late today. Hurricane conditions are possible within
the Hurricane Watch area by Tuesday afternoon, with tropical storm
conditions possible by early Tuesday. Tropical Storm conditions
are possible in the Tropical Storm Watch area in Cuba by early
Tuesday.
Tropical Storm Gamma. Advisory # 12
BULLETIN Tropical Storm Gamma Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL252020 400 AM CDT Mon Oct 05 2020 ...TROPICAL STORM GAMMA DRIFTING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD JUST NORTH OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.7N 87.5W ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM NE OF PROGRESO MEXICO ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM NNW OF COZUMEL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 240 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * North and west of Cancun to Dzilam Mexico A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * West of Dzilam to Campeche Mexico A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are occurring somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gamma was located near latitude 22.7 North, longitude 87.5 West. Gamma is drifting toward the west-southwest near 2 mph (4 km/h). Gamma is forecast to gradually turn toward the southwest later today, and continue to move slowly in that direction through mid-week. On the forecast track, the center of Gamma will continue to meander offshore of the northern Yucatan Peninsula early this morning, and pass near or just offshore of the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula late today and on Tuesday. Gamma could possibly move inland along the northwest coast of the Yucatan Peninsula Tuesday night and Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km), mainly northwest through northeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Storm Gamma can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5, WMO header WTNT45 KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml. RAINFALL: Through midweek, Gamma is expected to produce an additional 3 to 6 inches of rainfall with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches across portions of the Mexican states of Yucatan, Campeche, and Tabasco. This rainfall may produce significant flash flooding. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are likely in portions of the Tropical Storm Warning area along the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula later today. Tropical Storm conditions are possible within the Tropical Storm Watch area tonight and on Tuesday.
Coaches Poll, Week 5. Gators, UGA Tied at 3
College football polls updated after Week 5
Amway Coaches Poll
Rank Team Record PTS 1st Prev Chg Hi/Lo
1 Clemson 3-0 1533 46 1 — 1/1
2 Alabama 2-0 1496 14 2 — 2/3
3 Georgia 2-0 1372 0 4 1 3/4
3 Florida 2-0 1372 0 3 — 3/8
5 Notre Dame 2-0 1256 0 5 — 5/10
6 Ohio State 0-0 1192 2 6 — 2/10
7 Miami 3-0 1149 0 8 1 7/NR
8 Penn State 0-0 983 0 10 2 7/13
9 North Carolina 2-0 982 0 11 2 9/19
10 Oklahoma State 3-0 818 0 19 9 10/19
11 Cincinnati 3-0 807 0 15 4 11/22
12 Tennessee 2-0 744 0 20 8 12/NR
13 Auburn 1-1 701 0 7 -6 7/13
14 Wisconsin 0-0 668 0 18 4 12/18
15 Brigham Young 3-0 646 0 22 7 15/23
16 Louisiana State 1-1 616 0 17 1 5/17
17 Oregon 0-0 494 0 NR — 9/NR
18 Virginia Tech 2-0 423 0 23 5 18/24
19 Michigan 0-0 409 0 21 2 15/21
20 Texas A&M 1-1 339 0 13 -7 10/20
21 Southern Methodist 4-0 304 0 21/NR
22 Texas 2-1 295 0 9 -13 8/22
23 UL Lafayette 3-0 207 0 NR 3 21/NR
24 Iowa State 2-1 137 0 NR — 24/NR
25 Central Florida 2-1 127 0 12 -13 12
Tropical Storm Gamma. Advisory #10
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gamma Advisory Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL252020
400 PM CDT Sun Oct 04 2020
…GAMMA STALLED JUST NORTH OF THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA…
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…22.4N 87.8W
ABOUT 130 MI…205 KM NE OF PROGRESO MEXICO
ABOUT 150 MI…245 KM NNW OF COZUMEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…60 MPH…95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…997 MB…29.44 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* North and west of Cancun to Dzilam Mexico
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* West of Dzilam to Progreso Mexico
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
occurring somewhere within the warning area.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gamma was
located near latitude 22.4 North, longitude 87.8 West and has
stalled just north of the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula.
Gamma should slowly turn toward the west-southwest tonight or
Monday, and a west-southwestward drift should continue Monday night
through early Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of
Gamma will meander offshore of the northern Yucatan Peninsula and
over the extreme southern Gulf of Mexico today, and pass near or
just offshore of the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula on
Monday and Tuesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is anticipated to begin later tonight or on Monday
and continue into Tuesday. Afterward, little change in strength is
forecast.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Tropical Storm Gamma can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5, WMO header WTNT45
KNHC, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml.
RAINFALL: Gamma is expected to produce an additional 3 to 6 inches
of rainfall, with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches, across
portions of the Mexican states of Yucatan, Campeche and Tabasco.
This rainfall may enhance any ongoing flash flooding and result in
new areas of flash flooding into the middle of the week.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions should continue within portions
of the Tropical Storm Warning area on northern coast of the Yucatan
through today. Tropical Storm conditions are possible within the
Tropical Storm Watch area later today through Monday.