Tropical Weather Outlook

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Epsilon, located over the west-central Atlantic a couple of hundred 
miles northeast of Bermuda.

1. A broad area of low pressure located near Grand Cayman Island is 
producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms mainly east and 
south of the center. This system has become much better organized 
since yesterday, and a tropical depression could form during the 
next couple of days while the low moves slowly toward the northwest. 
This system is now anticipated to move near western Cuba this 
weekend and move slowly across the southeastern Gulf of Mexico by 
early next week.  Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall 
will be possible over portions of the Cayman Islands, Cuba, 
southern Florida and the Keys, and the northwestern Bahamas through 
the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

BULLETIN
Hurricane Epsilon Advisory Number  18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL272020
500 AM AST Fri Oct 23 2020

...EPSILON MOVING NORTHWARD AWAY FROM BERMUDA...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.1N 61.6W
ABOUT 195 MI...310 KM ENE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
t 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Epsilon was
located near latitude 33.1 North, longitude 61.6 West. Epsilon is
moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h). A generally northward
motion with increasing forward speed is expected through early
Saturday, with an even faster motion toward the northeast later that
day.  The center of Epsilon will continue to move away from Bermuda.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Some fluctuations in strength could occur for the next day
or so before gradual weakening begins on Saturday.

Epsilon remains a large storm system.  Hurricane-force winds 
extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and 
tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 255 miles (405 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 968 mb (28.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Large swells generated by Epsilon will affect Bermuda, the
Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, the Leeward Islands, the east coast
of the United States, and Atlantic Canada during the next few days.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions.  Please consult products from your local
weather office.

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