Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Oct 21 2020

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Epsilon, located over the central Atlantic a few hundred miles
east-southeast of Bermuda.

1. A trough of low pressure extending from the southwestern to the
northwestern Caribbean Sea is producing a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Any development of this system is
expected to be slow over the next several days as the system passes
near western or central Cuba, the Florida Straits, and the Bahamas.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible in
those areas and South Florida at times through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.

BULLETIN
Hurricane Epsilon Special Advisory Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL272020
200 PM AST Wed Oct 21 2020

…AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS EPSILON IS STILL
RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING…
…COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE LATER TODAY…

SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST…1800 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…29.4N 59.7W
ABOUT 365 MI…585 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…110 MPH…175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…959 MB…28.32 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Epsilon was located
near latitude 29.4 North, longitude 59.7 West. Epsilon is moving
toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the
northwest is expected tonight, followed by a turn toward the north
by Thursday night. On the forecast track, the center of Epsilon is
forecast to make its closest approach to Bermuda Thursday afternoon
or evening.

An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft has found that maximum
sustained winds have increased to near 110 mph (175 km/h) with
higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible this
afternoon, followed by little change in strength or gradual
weakening into the weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 435 miles
(705 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 959 mb (28.32 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda beginning
later today and continuing intermittently through late Thursday.

SURF: Large swells generated by Epsilon are affecting Bermuda, the
Bahamas, the Greater Antilles, and the Leeward Islands, and are
expected to reach portions of the east coast of the United States
and Atlantic Canada during the next couple of days. These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.