BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Eta Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL292020
1100 PM EDT Sat Oct 31 2020

…TROPICAL DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM ETA…
…HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN COASTS
OF NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS…

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…15.0N 74.2W
ABOUT 270 MI…435 KM SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
ABOUT 600 MI…965 KM E OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH…24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005 MB…29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of Honduras has issued a Hurricane Watch for the
northeastern coast of Honduras from Punta Patuca to the
Honduras/Nicaragua border.

The Government of Nicaragua has issued a Hurricane Watch for the
northeastern coast of Nicaragua from the Honduras/Nicaragua border
to Puerto Cabezas.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
* The northeastern coast of Honduras from Punta Patuca to the
Honduras/Nicaragua border.
* The northeastern coast of Nicaragua from the Honduras/Nicaragua
border to Puerto Cabezas

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

Interests elsewhere in Nicaragua and Honduras should monitor the
progress of this system. Additional watches or warnings will likely
be required for portions of these countries later tonight or on
Sunday.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Eta was
located near latitude 15.0 North, longitude 74.2 West. Eta is moving
toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h) and this motion is expected
to continue through Sunday night or Monday morning. A slower
motion toward the west-southwest and then southwest is forecast on
Monday and Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of the
cyclone is expected to be near the northeastern coasts of Nicaragua
and Honduras by Monday night.

Maximum sustained winds have increased near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast, and Eta is
expected to become a hurricane by Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
RAINFALL: Through Thursday evening, Eta is expected to cause 5 to
10 inches of rain, with local 15-inch amounts, across Jamaica, the
Cayman Islands, and possibly the southern coast of Hispaniola.
Across portions of Central America, 10 to 15 inches of rain, with
local amounts to 25 inches are expected. This rainfall may lead to
flash flooding and river flooding, and could lead to landslides in
areas of higher terrain.

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Twenty-Nine Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL292020
500 PM EDT Sat Oct 31 2020

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA...
...FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT
APPROACHES NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.0N 73.2W
ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
ABOUT 665 MI...1075 KM E OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in Nicaragua and Honduras should monitor the progress of 
the depression.  Hurricane or tropical storm watches will likely be 
required for portions of these countries later tonight or early 
Sunday.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Twenty-Nine was located near latitude 15.0 North, longitude 73.2
West. The depression is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 
km/h), and this westward motion is expected to continue through 
Sunday night.  A slower motion toward the west-southwest and then 
southwest is forecast on Monday and Tuesday.  On the forecast track, 
the center of the cyclone is expected to be near the northeastern 
coast of Nicaragua by Monday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is forecast, and the depression is expected to become 
a tropical storm tonight.  The system is then expected to become a 
hurricane by Monday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Through Thursday afternoon, the depression is expected to
cause 5 to 10 inches of rain, with local 15-inch amounts, across
Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and possibly the southern coast of
Hispaniola.  Across portions of Central America, 10 to 15 inches of
rain, with local amounts to 25 inches are expected.  This rainfall
should lead to flash flooding and river flooding, and could cause
landslides in areas of higher terrain.

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Oct 31 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A vigorous tropical wave located over the central Caribbean Sea 
continues to produce a concentrated area of thunderstorms. This 
system is gradually becoming better organized, and conditions are 
conducive for further development. A tropical depression is expected 
to form during the next day or so while the disturbance moves 
generally westward into the western Caribbean Sea.  Interests in 
Honduras and Nicaragua should monitor the progress of this system. 
Regardless of development, this disturbance is expected to produce 
heavy rainfall across portions of the ABC Islands and Jamaica 
through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Oct 30 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Shower activity continues to become better organized in association 
with a tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea. 
Conditions are conducive for further development of this system, 
and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early 
next week as the system moves into the central and western Caribbean 
Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Zeta, located over western North Carolina.

1. A large area of disturbed weather moving from the tropical Atlantic 
across the Lesser Antilles and into the eastern Caribbean Sea is 
associated with a pair of tropical waves.  Upper-level winds are 
expected to become more conducive for development of this 
disturbance during the next couple of days, and a tropical 
depression could form over the weekend or early next week while the 
system moves westward across the central and western Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Zeta Intermediate Advisory Number 18A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL282020
100 AM CDT Thu Oct 29 2020

...ZETA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM OVER CENTRAL ALABAMA...
...STRONG WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF ALABAMA AND THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE


SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.9N 87.4W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SSE OF TUSCALOOSA ALABAMA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 31 MPH...50 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Hurricane and Storm Surge Warnings for the Mississippi coast 
have been discontinued.

The Storm Surge Warning for the Florida Panhandle has been 
discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* From the Mississippi/Alabama border to the Alabama/Florida border
* Mobile Bay

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Mississippi/Alabama border to Walton/Bay County Line Florida

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline in
the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov.  This is a life-threatening situation.
Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions
to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Zeta was
located near latitude 32.9 North, longitude 87.4 West. Zeta is
moving quickly toward the northeast near 31 mph (50 km/h). An even
faster northeastward motion is expected later today, followed by a
rapid east-northeastward motion tonight and Friday.  On the forecast
track, the center of Zeta will move across portions of the
southeastern U.S. this morning, across the Mid-Atlantic states this
afternoon, and emerge over the western Atlantic by tonight.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional weakening is expected, and Zeta
should decay into a non-tropical gale-force low later today.  The
low should become absorbed by a frontal system over the western
Atlantic on Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km).
An observation in Wetumpka, Alabama, recently reported sustained
winds of 44 mph (71 km/h). 

The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface
observations is 985 mb (29.09 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Zeta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and
on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml.

STORM SURGE:  Along the northern Gulf Coast, the combination of a
dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas
near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the
shoreline.  The water could reach the following heights above ground
somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the
time of high tide...

MS/AL to AL/FL border including Mobile Bay...3-5 ft
Mouth of the Atchafalaya River to AL boarder including Lake 
Maurepas, Lake Pontchartrain, and Lake Borgne ...1-3 ft
AL/FL Boarder to Yankeetown FL including Pensacola Bay, 
Choctawhatchee Bay and Saint Andrew Bay...1-3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the right of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves.  Surge-related flooding
depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle,
and can vary greatly over short distances.  For information
specific to your area, please see products issued by your local
National Weather Service forecast office.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue within
the warning area near the northern Gulf Coast during the next few
hours.

Damaging winds, especially in gusts, are spreading well inland
across portions of central and northern Alabama, and northern
Georgia, and these winds will shift into the Carolinas and
southeastern Virginia later today.  Wind gusts could be especially
severe across the southern Appalachian Mountains.

RAINFALL:  Areas of heavy rainfall, both in advance of Zeta and
along the track of Zeta, will impact areas from the central Gulf
Coast to the Mid-Mississippi and Ohio Valleys, and east into the
southern to central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic today.
Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated amounts of 6 inches
are expected across these areas, resulting in flash, urban, small
stream, and minor river flooding.

TORNADOES:  A few tornadoes are possible over parts of southern
Alabama and the western Panhandle of Florida during the next few
hours.  An isolated tornado or two is possible later today across
much of the Carolinas and southern Virginia.

Hurricane Zeta Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL282020
800 PM CDT Wed Oct 28 2020

...ZETA WEAKENING AS IT MOVES INTO SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI...
...LIFE-THREATENING SURGE AND STRONG WINDS OVER SOUTHEASTERN 
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI...

The National Ocean Service station at Waveland, Mississippi, 
recently reported sustained winds of 80 mph (129 km/h) and a wind 
gust of 104 mph (167 km/h).

The National weather Service office in Slidell, Louisiana reported 
a minimum pressure of 975.9 mb inside the eye of Zeta during the 
past hour.


SUMMARY OF 800 PM CDT...0100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.7N 89.6W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM NNE OF SLIDELL LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...145 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.76 INCHES

Hurricane Zeta Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL282020
500 PM CDT Wed Oct 28 2020

...EYEWALL OF ZETA APPROACHING NEW ORLEANS WITH STRONG WINDS...
...LIFE-THREATENING SURGE OCCURRING NEAR THE COAST...

Don't venture outside when the calm eye of the hurricane passes 
over, as dangerous winds will return very quickly when the eye 
moves away.  Stronger winds, especially in gusts, are likely on 
high rise buildings.

An unofficial weather station in Golden Meadow just reported 
sustained winds of 94 mph (151 km/h) and a gust to 110 mph (177 
km/h)

A wind gust to 52 mph (84 km/h) was recently reported at Houma, 
Louisiana, and a wind gust to 53 mph (85 km/h) was reported at New 
Orleans Lakefront Airport.



SUMMARY OF 500 PM CDT...2200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.5N 90.4W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM SSW OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.70 INCHES

Hurricane Zeta Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL282020
300 PM CDT Wed Oct 28 2020

...ZETA AGAIN A LITTLE STRONGER...
...EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN 
LOUISIANA IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...

Data from the ongoing Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter mission 
indicate that Zeta's maximum sustained winds are now near 110 mph 
(175 km/h) with higher gusts.  

A wind gust to 48 mph (78 km/h) was recently reported at Houma, 
Louisiana, and a wind gust to 46 mph (74 km/h) was reported at New 
Orleans Lakefront Airport.


SUMMARY OF 300 PM CDT...2000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.7N 90.8W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SW OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SSW OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.70 INCHES