Monthly Archives: September 2020

Beta Advisory #20

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Beta Advisory Number 20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL222020
1000 AM CDT Tue Sep 22 2020

…BETA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER TEXAS…
…HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE MIDDLE AND
UPPER TEXAS COAST…

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…28.9N 96.7W
ABOUT 15 MI…25 KM ENE OF VICTORIA TEXAS
ABOUT 30 MI…45 KM WNW OF PALACIOS TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 2 MPH…4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005 MB…29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued.

The Storm Surge Warning has been discontinued. Information on
ongoing coastal flooding can be found in coastal flood products
issued by local National Weather Service offices.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beta was
located by surface observations, satellites, and NOAA Doppler
weather radars near latitude 28.9 North, longitude 96.7 West. The
depression is drifting toward the northeast near 2 mph (4 km/h). A
slow motion toward the east-northeast is expected by this afternoon
and tonight. An east-northeastward to northeastward motion with
increasing forward speed is expected Wednesday through Friday. On
the forecast track, the center of Beta will move inland over
southeastern Texas through Wednesday and then over Louisiana and
Mississippi Wednesday night through Friday.

Data from surface observations and NOAA Doppler weather radars
indicate that maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph
(55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected
today with gradual weakening anticipated through Friday.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on nearby surface
observations is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Beta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

RAINFALL: For the middle and upper Texas coast, additional
rainfall of 5 to 10 inches with isolated storm totals up to 20
inches is expected. Significant flash and urban flooding is
occurring and will continue today. Minor to isolated moderate river
flooding is likely.

Rainfall totals of 2 to 5 inches are expected east into the Lower
Mississippi Valley through the end of the week. Flash and urban
flooding is possible, as well as isolated minor river flooding on
smaller rivers.

TORNADOES: A tornado or two could occur through Tuesday near the
middle to upper Texas coast or the southwestern Louisiana coast.

SURF: Swells generated by a combination of Beta and a cold front
over the northern Gulf of Mexico will continue along the coasts of
Louisiana and Texas during the next couple of days. These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

Beta stalls over Texas. Serious Flooding potential

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beta Intermediate Advisory Number 19A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL222020
700 AM CDT Tue Sep 22 2020

…BETA EXPECTED TO STALL INLAND OVER TEXAS TODAY…
…HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE MIDDLE AND UPPER
TEXAS COAST…

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT…1200 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…28.8N 96.8W
ABOUT 10 MI…15 KM ESE OF VICTORIA TEXAS
ABOUT 35 MI…55 KM W OF PALACIOS TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 3 MPH…6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…999 MB…29.50 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* Sargent Texas to Sabine Pass including Galveston Bay

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Port Aransas Texas to Sabine Pass

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation from rising water moving inland from the coastline in
the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.
Persons located within these areas should take all necessary
actions to protect life and property from rising water and the
potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow
evacuation and other instructions from local officials.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beta was
located by surface observations and NOAA Doppler radars near
latitude 28.8 North, longitude 96.8 West. Beta is moving toward
the northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h). Beta is expected to stall
inland over Texas today but will then begin to move slowly toward
the east-northeast tonight. An east-northeast to northeast motion
with increasing forward speed is expected Wednesday through Friday.
On the forecast track, the center of Beta will move inland over
southeastern Texas through Wednesday and then over Louisiana and
Mississippi Wednesday night through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Beta is likely to begin weakening later today.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center. A sustained wind of 39 mph (63 km/h) and a gust to
47 mph (76 km/h) was recently reported at Victoria, Texas.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Beta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide…

Sargent, TX to Sabine Pass including Galveston Bay…2-4 ft
Sabine Pass to Ocean Springs, MS including Sabine Lake, Calcasieu
Lake, Vermilion Bay, Lake Borgne, Lake Pontchartrain, and Lake
Maurepas…1-3 ft
Baffin Bay, TX to Sargent, TX including Copano Bay, Aransas Bay, San
Antonio Bay, Matagorda Bay, Corpus Christi Bay and Baffin Bay… 1-3
ft
Mouth of the Rio Grande to Baffin Bay, TX…1-2 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and
dangerous waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative
timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over
short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue within
portions of the tropical storm warning area today.

RAINFALL: For the middle and upper Texas coast, additional rainfall
of 6 to 12 inches with isolated storm totals up to 20 inches is
expected. Significant flash and urban flooding is occurring and will
continue today. Minor river flooding is likely.

Rainfall totals of 3 to 5 inches are expected northward into the
ArkLaTex region and east into the Lower Mississippi Valley through
the end of the week. Flash and urban flooding is possible, as well
as isolated minor river flooding.

TORNADOES: A tornado or two could occur today near the upper Texas
and southwestern Louisiana coasts.

SURF: Swells generated by a combination of Beta and a cold front
over the northern Gulf of Mexico will continue along the coasts of
Louisiana and Texas during the next couple of days. These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

Tropical Weather Discussion

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1205 UTC Tue Sep 22 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0945 UTC.

…SPECIAL FEATURES…

Tropical Storm Beta has moved inland early this morning and is
centered near 28.8N 96.7W at 22/0900 UTC or 30 nm NNW of Port
Oconnor Texas moving NW at 3 kt. Estimated minimum central
pressure is 999 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 35 kt with
gusts to 45 kt. Scattered moderate convection extends out 150 nm
from the center in the E semicircle. Beta is expected to stall
today and tonight, while gradually weakening to a tropical
depression. Storm Surge and Tropical Storm Warnings remain in
effect for portions of the NW Gulf Coast. Please read the latest
NHC Public Advisory at
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPAT2.shtml and the Forecast/
Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMAT2.shtml for more
details.

Hurricane Teddy is centered near 38.4N 62.4W at 22/0900 UTC or
380 nm S of Halifax Nova Scotia moving NNW at 24 kt. Estimated
minimum central pressure is 960 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed
is 85 kt with gusts to 105 kt. Numerous moderate scattered strong
convection extends outward 360 nm from the center in the northern
semicircle…and 90 nm in the SW quadrant. Teddy will move over
Nova Scotia Wed morning then cross the Gulf of St. Lawrence
through Wed night. Teddy should weaken below hurricane strength
and become extratropical on Wed. Please read the latest NHC Public
Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPAT5.shtml and the
Forecast Advisory at
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMAT5.shtml for more details.

Tropical Storm Paulette is centered near 34.7N 23.7W at 22/0900
UTC or 260 nm SE of the Azores moving ENE at 15 kt. Estimated
minimum central pressure is 1002 mb. Maximum sustained wind
speed is 50 kt with gusts to 60 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is noted within about 60 nm of the center in all quadrants.
Paulette will continue moving ENE into Wed before stalling Wed
night. Weakening is forecast and Paulette is likely to become
post-tropical Wed or Tue. Please read the latest NHC Public
Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPAT1.shtml and the
Forecast Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMAT1.shtml
for more details.

…TROPICAL WAVES…

A tropical wave is located along 20W S of 17N, moving W at 10 to
15 kt. No significant convection is occurring with this wave.

A weak tropical wave extends along 32W S of 18N, moving W at 10 to
15 kt. No significant convection is occurring with this wave.

…MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ…

The monsoon trough extends from the coast of W Africa near 12N16W
to 08N28W. The ITCZ is from 06N33W to 05N39W. No significant
convection is occurring along these features.

GULF OF MEXICO…

Please see the Special Features section above for further details
on Tropical Storm Beta inland over Texas.

As of 22/0900 UTC. A cold front has now stalled over the eastern
and central Gulf from 22N81W to 29N92W. Scattered moderate
convection is near the front. North of the front over the NE Gulf,
strong NE winds prevail. These winds will gradually decrease
to fresh later today and tonight. Gentle winds prevail over the
remainder of the Gulf of Mexico south of the front. In the far
western Gulf, gentle winds prevail south of 25.5N.

After weakening to a tropical depression later today or tonight,
Beta will turn NE and track along the TX coast for the next
several days, eventually moving into Louisiana. Impacts from Beta
will remain confined to nearshore coastal waters of Texas and
Louisiana. A stationary front will remain stretched from the
central to southeast Gulf through Thu. Low pressure may form along
this frontal boundary in the southeast Gulf later this week.

CARIBBEAN SEA…

Mainly fair weather conditions prevail across the basin under the
influence of mid level high pressure supporting dry air
subsidence. Showers and thunderstorms previously near Cuba have
dissipated. Scattered moderate convection S of 11N, along the
Panama and Colombia coasts, is associated with the east Pacific
monsoon trough. Gentle to moderate winds prevail.

Swell associated with Hurricane Teddy moving away in the north
Atlantic as well as generated by a cold front currently extending
along 22N W of 61W will impact much of the Atlantic passages
beginning Tue night and continuing through at least Thu night.
Mainly gentle to moderate trade winds will dominate the basin
through Thu night. Across the remainder of the Caribbean, gentle
to moderate trades will prevail.

ATLANTIC OCEAN…

A cold front extends from 31N61W to 22N77W. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is along the front. Strong NE winds
area located to the N and W of the front, including the Bahamas.
Ahead of the front, strong S winds are occurring N of 28N. A
weak 1010 mb low near 14N50W is along a NE-SW surface trough that
extends from 17N46W to 10N54W. Another surface trough is from
22N40W to 16N41W. A broad area of moderate, disorganized
convection resides in the vicinity of these features from 11N to
24N between 39N and 49W.

Swell generated by Hurricane Teddy, moving farther north of the
area toward Atlantic Canada, and a cold front that is slowing
over the southeastern waters will continue to impact the waters
through at least Thu night. In the wake of the front, high
pressure building into the Mid- Atlantic U.S. will bring fresh to
strong winds to areas N of the Bahamas and off the Florida coast
into tonight.

Beta Stalls over Texas

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beta Advisory Number  19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL222020
400 AM CDT Tue Sep 22 2020

...BETA EXPECTED TO STALL INLAND OVER TEXAS TODAY...
...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE MIDDLE AND UPPER
TEXAS COAST...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.8N 96.7W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM NNW OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM WNW OF MATAGORDA TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued east of Sabine
Pass.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Sargent Texas to Sabine Pass including Galveston Bay

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Port Aransas Texas to Sabine Pass

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation from rising water moving inland from the coastline in
the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov.  This is a life-threatening situation.
Persons located within these areas should take all necessary
actions to protect life and property from rising water and the
potential for other dangerous conditions.  Promptly follow
evacuation and other instructions from local officials.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beta was
located near latitude 28.8 North, longitude 96.7 West.  Beta is
moving toward the northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h).  Beta is expected
to stall inland over Texas today but will then begin to move slowly
toward the east-northeast tonight.  An east-northeast to northeast
motion with increasing forward speed is expected Wednesday through
Friday.  On the forecast track, the center of Beta will move inland
over southeastern Texas through Wednesday and then over Louisiana
and Mississippi Wednesday night through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is expected today, but Beta is likely to
begin weakening by tonight.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.  A sustained wind of 39 mph (63 km/h) and a gust
to 47 mph (76 km/h) was recently reported at Victoria, Texas.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Beta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

STORM SURGE:  The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline.  The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Sargent, TX to Sabine Pass including Galveston Bay...2-4 ft
Sabine Pass to Ocean Springs, MS including Sabine Lake, Calcasieu
Lake, Vermilion Bay, Lake Borgne, Lake Pontchartrain, and Lake
Maurepas...1-3 ft
Baffin Bay, TX to Sargent, TX including Copano Bay, Aransas Bay, San
Antonio Bay, Matagorda Bay, Corpus Christi Bay and Baffin Bay... 1-3
ft
Mouth of the Rio Grande to Baffin Bay, TX...1-2 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and
dangerous waves.  Surge-related flooding depends on the relative
timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over
short distances.  For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue within
portions of the tropical storm warning area today.

RAINFALL: For the middle and upper Texas coast, additional rainfall
of 6 to 12 inches with isolated storm totals up to 20 inches is
expected. Significant flash and urban flooding is occurring and will
continue today. Minor river flooding is likely.

Rainfall totals of 3 to 5 inches are expected northward into the
ArkLaTex region and east into the Lower Mississippi Valley through
the end of the week. Flash and urban flooding is possible, as well
as isolated minor river flooding.

TORNADOES:  A tornado or two could occur today near the upper Texas
and southwestern Louisiana coasts.

SURF:  Swells generated by a combination of Beta and a cold front
over the northern Gulf of Mexico will continue along the coasts of
Louisiana and Texas during the next couple of days.  These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

Starting Lineup for Ole Miss

The Florida Gators released a depth chart for the first game of the 2020 season against Ole Miss.
Offense
QB: Kyle Trask, Emory Jones, Anthony Richardson
RB: Malik Davis OR Dameon Pierce, Nay’Quan Wright
WR: Jacob Copeland, Justin Shorter
WR: Trevon Grimes, Xzavier Henderson
WR: Kadarius Toney, Trent Whittemore
TE: Kyle Pitts, Kemore Gamble OR Keon Zipperer
LT: Stone Forsythe, T.J. Moore
LG: Richard Gouraige, Griffin McDowell
C: Brett Heggie, Kingsley Eguakun
RG: Stewart Reese, Joshua Braun
RT: Jean Delance, Michael Tarquin

Notes:
Ethan White’s injury has forced Florida to shift around the offensive line. Brett Heggie will start in White’s place at center, which isn’t a surprise but what surprises is how the tackles changed. Richard Gouraige will slide from tackle to Heggie’s guard spot and Jean Delance will start at tackle. Delance started all 13 games last year but many expected that Gouraige would challenge for a starting spot at tackle.

Defense:
BUCK: Jeremiah Moon OR Khris Bogle, David Reese
DT: Zachary Carter, Gervon Dexter
NT: Tedarrell Slaton, Marlon Dunlap Jr.
DE: Brenton Cox Jr., Andrew Chatfield
WLB: Amari Burney, Mohamoud Diabate
MLB: Ventrell Miller, James Houston
Star: C.J. McWilliams, Tre’Vez Johnson
CB: Marco Wilson, Jaydon Hill
CB: Kaiir Elam, Chester Kimbrough
FS: Shawn Davis, Rashad Torrence II
SS: Donovan Stiner, Trey Dean

Notes:
The absence of Kyree Campbell and Brad Stewart here is big. Rumors are swirling that Campbell may opt-out of the season but Dan Mullen said on Monday that no players have opted out of the season. Stewart missing from the depth chart entirely is puzzling and worrisome. C.J. McWilliams worked at Star before a season-ending injury in 2019 and he’ll get a chance to start the season there. Notable that three freshmen find their way on the initial depth chart. The coaching staff has been high on all three and this shows that it wasn’t lip service, they’re going to play right away.

Special teams:
K: Evan McPherson, Chris Howard
P: Jacob Finn, Jeremy Crawshaw
LS: Brett DioGuardi OR Marco Ortiz
H: Jacob Finn, Jeremy Crawshaw
KOR: Kadarius Toney, Jacob Copeland
PR: Kadarius Toney, Jacob Copeland

Hurricane Teddy Continues heading North

BULLETIN
Hurricane Teddy Advisory Number 36
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202020
500 AM AST Mon Sep 21 2020

…LARGE HURRICANE TEDDY NOW HEADING NORTH…
…DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS FORECAST ALONG WESTERN ATLANTIC BEACHES
FOR SEVERAL DAYS…

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…30.3N 63.2W
ABOUT 165 MI…270 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…100 MPH…155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 10 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…963 MB…28.44 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Lower East Pubnico to Main-a-Dieu Nova Scotia

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in Atlantic Canada should closely monitor the
progress of Teddy.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Teddy was located
near latitude 30.3 North, longitude 63.2 West. Teddy is moving
toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h). Although some fluctuations in
heading are likely, the hurricane is expected to move generally
northward through Tuesday evening, followed by a turn toward the
northeast on Wednesday. The center of Teddy will pass east of
Bermuda today and then approach Nova Scotia late Tuesday or early
Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is expected during the next day
or so. Gradual weakening is forecast to begin mid-week, but the
cyclone is expected to remain a large and powerful hurricane
Tuesday, then become a strong post-tropical cyclone when it nears
Nova Scotia by Wednesday morning.

Teddy is a large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up
to 70 miles (110 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds
extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 963 mb (28.44 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Teddy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC
and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to affect Bermuda
into Monday night. Tropical storm conditions could begin over Nova
Scotia on Tuesday afternoon.

SURF: Large swells generated by Teddy are affecting Bermuda, the
Lesser Antilles, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, the east coast
of the United States, and Atlantic Canada. These swells are likely
to cause life- threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

RAINFALL: From Tuesday through Thursday, Teddy is expected to
produce rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) with
isolated totals of 6 inches (150 mm) across sections of Atlantic
Canada.

Tropical Storm Beta Advisory # 15

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beta Advisory Number 15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL222020
400 AM CDT Mon Sep 21 2020

…BETA EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OVER PORTIONS
OF THE TEXAS COAST LATER THIS MORNING…

SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…27.7N 95.1W
ABOUT 95 MI…150 KM ESE OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS
ABOUT 110 MI…180 KM S OF GALVESTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH…9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…996 MB…29.42 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* Port Aransas, Texas to Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge, Louisiana,
including Copano Bay, Aransas Bay, San Antonio Bay, Matagorda Bay,
Galveston Bay, Sabine Lake, and Lake Calcasieu

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Port Aransas Texas to Morgan City Louisiana

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Baffin Bay to Port Aransas Texas

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction
of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is
a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas
should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from
rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.
Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local
officials.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 36
hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beta was
located near latitude 27.7 North, longitude 95.1 West. Beta is
moving toward the west near 6 mph (9 km/h) and this general motion
is forecast to continue for the next day or so. A decrease in
forward speed and a sharp turn to the north and northeast is
expected on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Beta
will continue to move toward the central coast of Texas and will
likely move inland by tonight. Beta is forecast to remain close to
the coast of southeastern Texas on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast before Beta reaches the
Texas coast. Weakening is anticipated once Beta moves inland.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km)
from the center. NOAA buoy 42019, just northwest of the center of
Beta, recently reported sustained winds of 40 mph (65 km/h) and a
gust to 47 mph (76 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Beta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide…

San Luis Pass, TX to Sabine Pass, TX including Galveston Bay…3-5
ft
Port Aransas, TX to San Luis Pass, TX including Copano Bay, Aransas
Bay, San Antonio Bay, and Matagorda Bay…2-4 ft
Sabine Pass, TX to Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge, LA including Sabine
Lake and Calcasieu Lake…2-4 ft
Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge, LA to Ocean Springs, MS including
Vermilion Bay, Lake Borgne, Lake Pontchartrain, and Lake
Maurepas…1-3 ft
Baffin Bay, TX to Port Aransas, TX including Corpus Christi Bay and
Baffin Bay… 1-3 ft
Mouth of the Rio Grande to Baffin Bay, TX…1-2 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and
dangerous waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative
timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over
short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin later this
morning in portions of the tropical storm warning area. Tropical
storm conditions are possible within the tropical storm watch area
later today.

RAINFALL: Through Friday, Beta is expected to produce rainfall
accumulations of 5 to 10 inches with isolated totals of 15 inches
from the middle Texas coast to southeast Louisiana. Rainfall totals
of 3 to 5 inches are expected northward into the ArkLaTex region and
east into the Lower Mississippi Valley through the end of the week.
Flash and urban flooding is likely, as well as isolated minor river
flooding.

TORNADOES: A tornado or two could occur today and tonight, near the
middle to upper Texas coast or the southwestern Louisiana coast.

SURF: Swells generated by a combination of Beta and cold front
over the northern Gulf of Mexico will continue along the coasts of
Louisiana and Texas during the next couple of days. These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

Teddy continues North

BULLETIN
Hurricane Teddy Intermediate Advisory Number 34A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202020
800 PM AST Sun Sep 20 2020

…HURRICANE HUNTERS INVESTIGATING TEDDY…
…DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS FORECAST ALONG WESTERN ATLANTIC BEACHES
FOR SEVERAL DAYS…

SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST…0000 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…29.3N 63.4W
ABOUT 225 MI…360 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…105 MPH…165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 350 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…964 MB…28.47 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Lower East Pubnico to Canso Nova Scotia

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in Atlantic Canada should closely monitor the
progress of Teddy.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Teddy was located
near latitude 29.3 North, longitude 63.4 West. Teddy is moving
toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this general motion is
expected to continue for another couple days. Teddy is approaching
Bermuda from the southeast, and the center should pass east of the
island Monday morning. Teddy is forecast to be approaching Nova
Scotia late Tuesday or Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is forecast, and the system is
expected to remain a large and powerful hurricane through Tuesday,
then become a strong post-tropical cyclone on Wednesday.

Teddy is a large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward
up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force
winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 964 mb (28.47 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Teddy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC
and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to affect Bermuda
later tonight and could continue into Monday night. Tropical storm
conditions could begin over Nova Scotia on Tuesday afternoon.

SURF: Large swells generated by Teddy are affecting Bermuda, the
Lesser Antilles, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, the east coast
of the United States, and Atlantic Canada. These swells are likely
to cause life- threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

RAINFALL: From Tuesday through Thursday, Teddy is expected to
produce rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) with
isolated totals of 6 inches (150 mm) across sections of Atlantic
Canada.

Beta heading to Texas

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beta Intermediate Advisory Number 13A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL222020
700 PM CDT Sun Sep 20 2020

…BETA TO APPROACH THE COAST OF TEXAS ON MONDAY…

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT…0000 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…27.6N 94.1W
ABOUT 120 MI…195 KM SSE OF GALVESTON TEXAS
ABOUT 150 MI…245 KM ESE OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…60 MPH…95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 6 MPH…9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…996 MB…29.42 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* Port Aransas, Texas to Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge, Louisiana,
including Copano Bay, Aransas Bay, San Antonio Bay, Matagorda Bay,
Galveston Bay, Sabine Lake, and Lake Calcasieu

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Port Aransas Texas to Morgan City Louisiana

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Baffin Bay to Port Aransas Texas

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction
of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is
a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas
should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from
rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.
Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local
officials.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 36
hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beta was
located by an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft and NOAA
Doppler weather radars near latitude 27.6 North, longitude 94.1
West. Beta is moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h),
and this general motion is forecast to continue for the next day or
so. A decrease in forward speed and a sharp turn to the north and
northeast is expected Monday night and Tuesday. On the forecast
track, the center of Beta will continue to move toward the central
coast of Texas and will likely move inland by Monday night, and
remain close to the coast of southeastern Texas on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is forecast before Beta reaches
the Texas coast Monday. Weakening is anticipated once Beta
moves inland.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on data from the
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 996 mb (29.42 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Beta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide…

San Luis Pass, TX to Sabine Pass, TX including Galveston Bay…3-5
ft
Port Aransas, TX to San Luis Pass, TX including Copano Bay, Aransas
Bay, San Antonio Bay, and Matagorda Bay…2-4 ft
Sabine Pass, TX to Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge, LA including Sabine
Lake and Calcasieu Lake…2-4 ft
Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge, LA to Ocean Springs, MS including
Vermilion Bay, Lake Borgne, Lake Pontchartrain, and Lake
Maurepas…1-3 ft
Baffin Bay, TX to Port Aransas, TX including Corpus Christi Bay and
Baffin Bay… 1-3 ft
Mouth of the Rio Grande to Baffin Bay, TX…1-2 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and
dangerous waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative
timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over
short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring in the tropical
storm warning area along the southwestern Louisiana coast and will
spread westward to the warning areas in Texas tonight through early
Monday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the tropical
storm watch area along the south Texas coast on Monday.

RAINFALL: Through Thursday, Beta is expected to produce rainfall
accumulations of 6 to 12 inches with isolated totals of 15 inches
from the middle Texas coast to southern Louisiana. Rainfall totals
of 3 to 5 inches expected northward into the ArkLaTex region and
east into the Lower Mississippi Valley. Flash and urban flooding
is likely, as well as minor to isolated moderate river flooding.

TORNADOES: A tornado or two could occur Monday near the
middle-to-upper Texas coast or the southwestern Louisiana coast.

SURF: Swells are increasing and reaching the coast of Texas and
the Gulf Coast of Mexico, generated by a combination of Beta and a
cold front entering the northern Gulf of Mexico. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.

Teddy Threatens Canada

BULLETIN
Hurricane Teddy Advisory Number 34
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202020
500 PM AST Sun Sep 20 2020

…TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF NOVA SCOTIA…
…DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS FORECAST ALONG WESTERN ATLANTIC BEACHES
FOR SEVERAL DAYS…

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…29.0N 63.4W
ABOUT 245 MI…390 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…105 MPH…165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…964 MB…28.47 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Canadian Hurricane Centre has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for
the coast of Nova Scotia from Lower East Pubnico to Canso.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Lower East Pubnico to Canso Nova Scotia

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in Atlantic Canada should closely monitor the
progress of Teddy.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Teddy was located
near latitude 29.0 North, longitude 63.4 West. Teddy is moving
toward the north-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the
north is expected tonight, and Teddy is then forecast to continue
generally northward for another couple days. On the forecast track,
Teddy will approach Bermuda tonight, and the center should pass east
of the island Monday morning. Teddy is forecast to be approaching
Nova Scotia late Tuesday or Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is forecast, and the system is
expected to remain a large and powerful hurricane through Tuesday,
then become a strong post-tropical cyclone on Wednesday.

Teddy is a large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward
up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force
winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 964 mb (28.47 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Teddy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC
and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to affect Bermuda
tonight and could continue into Monday night. Tropical storm
conditions could begin over Nova Scotia on Tuesday afternoon.

SURF: Large swells generated by Teddy are affecting Bermuda, the
Lesser Antilles, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, the east coast
of the United States, and Atlantic Canada. These swells are likely
to cause life- threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

RAINFALL: From Tuesday through Thursday, Teddy is expected to
produce rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) with
isolated totals of 6 inches (150 mm) across sections of Atlantic
Canada.