BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Rene Advisory Number 19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020
500 PM AST Fri Sep 11 2020

…RENE SHOWING LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH…

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…20.7N 41.1W
ABOUT 1165 MI…1875 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH…22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1004 MB…29.65 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rene was
located near latitude 20.7 North, longitude 41.1 West. Rene is
moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A turn
toward the northwest followed by a turn toward the
north-northwest is expected over the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or so,
but a weakening trend will likely begin by late Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None.

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Paulette Advisory Number 20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020
500 PM AST Fri Sep 11 2020

…PAULETTE FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE SATURDAY OR SATURDAY
NIGHT…
…EXPECTED TO BRING HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO BERMUDA SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY…

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…24.6N 53.7W
ABOUT 750 MI…1205 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 855 MI…1380 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…65 MPH…100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH…20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…989 MB…29.21 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Paulette. A
hurricane watch could be required for the island tonight or early
Saturday.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Paulette was
located near latitude 24.6 North, longitude 53.7 West. Paulette is
moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A motion toward
the northwest or west-northwest is expected through Sunday night,
followed by a sharp turn toward the north by late Monday. On the
forecast track, the center of Paulette should be near Bermuda Sunday
night and Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts. Strengthening is forecast, and Paulette is expected to
become a hurricane Saturday or Saturday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Paulette can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

SURF: Swells generated by Paulette are affecting portions of the
Leeward Islands and will continue to spread westward to portions of
the Greater Antilles, Bahamas, Bermuda, and the southeastern United
States into the weekend. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Sep 11 2020

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Paulette and Tropical Storm Rene, both located over the
central Atlantic Ocean.

Shower and thunderstorm activity located over the northwestern and
central Bahamas and the adjacent waters continues to shows signs of
organization. In addition, surface observations indicate that
pressures have fallen over the area since yesterday and, along with
wind and satellite data, suggest that a broad area of low pressure
could be forming between the northwestern Bahamas and South Florida.
This system is forecast to move westward at about 10 mph, and it
could become a tropical depression while it is near South Florida
tonight. But if not, the disturbance is expected to become a
tropical depression while it moves slowly west-northwestward over
the northeastern Gulf of Mexico this weekend and early next week.
Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce
locally heavy rainfall over portions of the Bahamas, South Florida,
and the Florida Keys during the next couple of days, and interests
there, as well as along the northern and eastern Gulf coast, should
monitor its progress.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent.

Showers and thunderstorms have increased a little bit over the
north-central Gulf of Mexico near a surface trough of low pressure.
Some slow development of this system is possible while it moves
westward and then southwestward over the northern and western Gulf
of Mexico through the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent.

A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is
located a few hundred miles south and southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands and is producing a large area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms. Development of this system is forecast, and a
tropical depression is expected to form within the next few days
while the system moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across
the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent.

Another area of disturbed weather is located just off of the west
coast of Africa. Environmental conditions could support development
during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form over
the far eastern tropical Atlantic early next week while the system
moves slowly westward. Upper-level winds could become less
conducive for development by Monday or Tuesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent.

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Rene Advisory Number 18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020
1100 AM AST Fri Sep 11 2020

…RENE WEAKENS…

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…20.3N 39.9W
ABOUT 1085 MI…1745 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH…20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1004 MB…29.65 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rene was
located near latitude 20.3 North, longitude 39.9 West. Rene is
moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue today followed by a turn
toward the northwest on Saturday and a turn toward the
north-northwest with decreasing forward speed on Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts. Some restrengthening is forecast during the next
day or two, but weakening is expected to begin by Sunday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None.

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Paulette Advisory Number 19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020
1100 AM AST Fri Sep 11 2020

…PAULETTE EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE SATURDAY OR SATURDAY
NIGHT…
…SWELLS FORECAST TO SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN ATLANTIC
THROUGH THE WEEKEND INCREASING RIP CURRENT THREAT…

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…23.6N 52.2W
ABOUT 795 MI…1280 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 975 MI…1570 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…65 MPH…100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…990 MB…29.24 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Paulette.
Please consult products from your local weather office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Paulette was
located near latitude 23.6 North, longitude 52.2 West. Paulette is
moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A motion toward
the northwest or west-northwest with some increase in forward speed
is expected through early Monday. On the forecast track, the
center of Paulette should approach Bermuda Sunday night and Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts. Strengthening is forecast, and Paulette is expected to
become a hurricane Saturday or Saturday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Paulette can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

SURF: Swells generated by Paulette are affecting portions of the
Leeward Islands and will continue to spread westward to portions of
the Greater Antilles, Bahamas, Bermuda, and the southeastern United
States into the weekend. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Rene Advisory Number 17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020
500 AM AST Fri Sep 11 2020

…RENE HEADING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH…

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…19.7N 38.5W
ABOUT 985 MI…1585 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1002 MB…29.59 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rene was
located near latitude 19.7 North, longitude 38.5 West. Rene is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). This
general motion is expected to continue through Friday night,
followed by a turn toward the northwest on Saturday. A
north-northwestward and northward motion with a decrease in
forward speed is forecast Sunday and Sunday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is forecast during the couple of days.
Afterward, weakening is expected to begin by Sunday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None.

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Paulette Advisory Number 18
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020
500 AM AST Fri Sep 11 2020

…PAULETTE EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE THIS WEEKEND…
…SWELLS FORECAST TO SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN ATLANTIC
THROUGH THE WEEKEND INCREASING RIP CURRENT THREAT…

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…23.1N 51.7W
ABOUT 810 MI…1305 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 1020 MI…1645 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…65 MPH…100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…991 MB…29.27 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Paulette.
Please consult products from your local weather office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Paulette was
located near latitude 23.1 North, longitude 51.7 West. Paulette is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A motion
toward the northwest is expected for the next few days. On the
forecast track, the center of Paulette should approach Bermuda
Sunday night and Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is expected today. Gradual
strengthening is expected to begin tonight or on Saturday, and
Paulette is forecast to become a hurricane this weekend.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Paulette can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

SURF: Swells generated by Paulette are expected to reach portions
of the Leeward Islands today and will continue to spread westward
to portions of the Greater Antilles, Bahamas, Bermuda, and the
southeastern United States into the weekend. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Rene Advisory Number 15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL182020
500 PM AST Thu Sep 10 2020

…RENE EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS…

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…18.9N 36.8W
ABOUT 865 MI…1395 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1000 MB…29.53 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rene was
located near latitude 18.9 North, longitude 36.8 West. Rene is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). This
general motion is expected to continue through Friday, followed
by a turn toward the northwest on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and
Rene is expected to become a hurricane by Saturday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None.

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Paulette Advisory Number 16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020
500 PM AST Thu Sep 10 2020

…PAULETTE EXPECTED TO APPROACH BERMUDA AS A HURRICANE EARLY NEXT
WEEK…
…OCEAN SWELLS FORECAST TO SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN ATLANTIC
THROUGH THE WEEKEND…

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…22.1N 50.1W
ABOUT 885 MI…1425 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 1145 MI…1840 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…997 MB…29.44 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Paulette.
Please consult products from your local weather office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Paulette was
located near latitude 22.1 North, longitude 50.1 West. Paulette is
moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A
west-northwestward or northwestward motion with some increase in
forward speed is expected through the weekend.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slight weakening is expected during the next day or so, but
Paulette is then forecast to restrengthen by Saturday. Paulette
is expected to become a hurricane by Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
Key messages for Paulette can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT2 KNHC.

SURF: Swells generated by Paulette are expected to reach portions
of the Leeward Islands tonight and Friday and will continue
to spread westward to portions of the Greater Antilles, Bahamas,
Bermuda, and the southeastern United States into the weekend. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Paulette Advisory Number 15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020
1100 AM AST Thu Sep 10 2020

…PAULETTE A LITTLE WEAKER BUT EXPECTED TO RESTRENGTHEN IN A
COUPLE OF DAYS…
…OCEAN SWELLS FORECAST TO SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN ATLANTIC
THROUGH THE WEEKEND…

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…21.5N 49.1W
ABOUT 935 MI…1510 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 1220 MI…1960 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…998 MB…29.47 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system.
Please consult products from your local weather office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Paulette was
located near latitude 21.5 North, longitude 49.1 West. Paulette is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A
west-northwestward or northwestward motion with some increase in
forward speed is expected through the weekend.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h)
with higher gusts. Some additional slight weakening is expected
during the next day or so, but Paulette is then forecast to
restrengthen by Saturday. Paulette could become a hurricane by
Sunday or Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
SURF: Swells generated by Paulette are expected to reach portions
of the Leeward Islands tonight and Friday and will continue
to spread westward to portions of the Greater Antilles, Bahamas,
Bermuda, and the southeastern United States into the weekend. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.