Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Sep 30 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A tropical wave located over the west-central Caribbean Sea is 
expected to move westward over the next couple of days and 
interact with a frontal system, producing a broad area of low 
pressure over the western Caribbean Sea by Thursday night or Friday. 
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some 
development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form over 
the weekend while the system moves slowly west-northwestward over 
the northwestern Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.