Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Sep 29 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the western 
Caribbean Sea in a few days.  Environmental conditions are forecast 
to be conducive for some development thereafter, and a tropical 
depression could form late this week or this weekend while the 
system moves slowly west-northwestward over the northwestern 
Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.