Monthly Archives: August 2020

Trop. Storm Josephine. Advisory #14

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Josephine Advisory Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112020
1100 PM AST Fri Aug 14 2020

…SATELLITE WIND DATA SHOW JOSEPHINE IS SLIGHTLY STRONGER…

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…18.3N 57.4W
ABOUT 375 MI…600 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 MPH…26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005 MB…29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of
this system.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Josephine
was located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 57.4 West. Josephine
is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days
followed by a turn toward the northwest late this weekend or early
next week. On the forecast track, the center of Josephine is
expected to pass to the northeast of the Leeward Islands over the
weekend.

Recent satellite wind data indicate that the maximum sustained
winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in
strength is expected through Saturday. After that, Josephine is
expected to weaken as it encounters unfavorable upper-level winds.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
RAINFALL: Josephine is expected to cause storm-total rainfall of
1 to 3 inches over portions of the northern Leeward Islands, the
Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. Isolated minor flooding is
possible in Puerto Rico through Monday.

Tropical Storm Kyle. Advisory #2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Kyle Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122020
1100 PM EDT Fri Aug 14 2020

…TROPICAL STORM KYLE MOVING AWAY FROM THE U.S. MID-ATLANTIC
COAST…

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…38.3N 70.0W
ABOUT 250 MI…400 KM ESE OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 16 MPH…26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1006 MB…29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kyle was
located near latitude 38.3 North, longitude 70.0 West. Kyle is
moving toward the east-northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h). A slightly
faster east-northeastward or eastward motion is expected during the
next few days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h)
with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible during
the next day or so. Kyle is forecast to become post-tropical by
Sunday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None

Tropical Storm Kyle. Advisory # 1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Kyle Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122020
500 PM EDT Fri Aug 14 2020

…TROPICAL STORM KYLE FORMS OVER THE NORTHWEST ATLANTIC…
…FORECAST TO MOVE QUICKLY AWAY FROM LAND DURING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS…

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…37.7N 71.7W
ABOUT 185 MI…300 KM SE OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 17 MPH…28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1008 MB…29.77 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kyle was
located near latitude 37.7 North, longitude 71.7 West. Kyle is
moving toward the east-northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h). A continued
east-northeastward motion with an increase in forward speed is
expected for the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slight strengthening is possible tonight and tomorrow. Kyle is
forecast to become post-tropical by late Sunday or early Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None

Trop. Storm Josephine. Advisory # 13

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Josephine Advisory Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112020
500 PM AST Fri Aug 14 2020

…HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS CENTER OF JOSEPHINE A LITTLE
FARTHER TO THE NORTH…

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…17.8N 56.1W
ABOUT 460 MI…740 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 MPH…26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1004 MB…29.65 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of
this system.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Josephine was
located near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 56.1 West. Josephine is
moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days
followed by a turn toward the northwest late this weekend or early
next week. On the forecast track, the center of Josephine is
expected to pass to the northeast of the Leeward Islands over the
weekend.

Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft
indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h)
with higher gusts. Slight strengthening is possible tonight.
After that, Josephine is expected to weaken over the weekend as it
encounters unfavorable upper-level winds.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
mainly to the north of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure reported by the Hurricane
Hunter aircraft is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
RAINFALL: Josephine is expected to cause storm-total rainfall of
1 to 3 inches over portions of the northern Leeward Islands, the
Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. Isolated minor flooding is
possible in Puerto Rico through Monday.

Trop. Storm Josephine. Advisory # 11

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Josephine Advisory Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112020
500 AM AST Fri Aug 14 2020

…JOSEPHINE CONTINUES ON ITS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE
TROPICAL ATLANTIC…

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…15.3N 53.3W
ABOUT 680 MI…1090 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 17 MPH…28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1006 MB…29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of
this system.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Josephine was
located near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 53.3 West. Josephine is
moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days
followed by a turn toward the northwest late this weekend or early
next week. On the forecast track, the center of Josephine is
expected to pass to the northeast of the Leeward Islands over the
weekend.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is expected during the next day or so.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None.

Trop. Storm Josephine. Advisory # 9

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Josephine Advisory Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112020
500 PM AST Thu Aug 13 2020

…JOSEPHINE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH…

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…14.5N 50.6W
ABOUT 865 MI…1395 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 16 MPH…26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005 MB…29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of
this system.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Josephine was
located near latitude 14.5 North, longitude 50.6 West. Josephine is
moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next few days
followed by a turn toward the northwest late this weekend or early
next week. On the forecast track the center of Josephine is
expected to pass to the northeast of the Leeward Islands over the
weekend.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is expected through Friday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None.

Trop. Storm Josephine. Advisory # 8

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Josephine Advisory Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112020
1100 AM AST Thu Aug 13 2020

…DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE…

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…13.7N 49.2W
ABOUT 975 MI…1565 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 MPH…24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005 MB…29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of
this system.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Josephine
was located near latitude 13.7 North, longitude 49.2 West. Josephine
is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next few days
followed by a turn toward the northwest late this weekend or early
next week.

Recent satellite wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds
have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Some
additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
to the north of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None.

Tropical Depression #11. Advisory 7

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Eleven Advisory Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112020
500 AM AST Thu Aug 13 2020

…DEPRESSION IS DISORGANIZED AT THIS TIME BUT STILL EXPECTED TO
STRENGTHEN INTO A TROPICAL STORM…

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…12.9N 47.9W
ABOUT 1075 MI…1730 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH…24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1007 MB…29.74 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of
this system.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eleven
was located near latitude 12.9 North, longitude 47.9 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h)
and this general motion is expected to continue for the next
few days followed by a turn toward the northwest late this
weekend or early next week.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or two, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

Tropical Depression #11. Advisory 5

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Eleven Advisory Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL112020
500 PM AST Wed Aug 12 2020

...DEPRESSION NOT YET A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.7N 45.7W
ABOUT 1220 MI...1960 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of
this system.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eleven
was located near latitude 12.7 North, longitude 45.7 West. The
depression is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h).  A turn 
toward the west-northwest at a similar forward speed is expected 
tonight, with this motion continuing through the rest of the week.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

Tropical Depression #11. Advisory 4

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Eleven Advisory Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL112020
1100 AM AST Wed Aug 12 2020

...DEPRESSION REMAINS JUST BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.4N 44.2W
ABOUT 1320 MI...2125 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eleven
was located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 44.2 West. The
depression is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward the 
west-northwest at a similar forward speed is expected tonight, with 
this motion continuing through the rest of the week.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.