Monthly Archives: August 2020

Tropical Storm Laura. Advisory # 10A

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Laura Intermediate Advisory Number 10A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020
800 AM AST Sat Aug 22 2020

…DISORGANIZED LAURA CONTINUES TO MOVE NEAR EASTERN PUERTO RICO…

SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST…1200 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…17.7N 66.0W
ABOUT 50 MI…80 KM S OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 280 DEGREES AT 21 MPH…33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1006 MB…29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Netherlands has discontinued the Tropical
Storm Warning for Saba and St. Eustatius.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Puerto Rico, Vieques and Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin and St. Barthelemy
* The northern coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to
the border with Haiti
* The southern coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to
Punta Palenque
* The northern coast of Haiti from Le Mole St. Nicholas to the
border with the Dominican Republic
* The southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* The central Bahamas

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests in Cuba should monitor the progress of Laura. Tropical
Storm Warnings and Watches will likely be issued for portions of
central and eastern Cuba later today.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area
outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by
your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Laura was
located near latitude 17.7 North, longitude 66.0 West. Laura is
moving toward the west near 21 mph (33 km/h), and a generally
west-northwestward motion is expected over the next few days. On
the forecast track, the center of Laura will move near Puerto Rico
this morning, near or over Hispaniola this afternoon and tonight,
and near or over eastern Cuba Sunday and Sunday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow strengthening is expected during the next few days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
mainly to the north of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface
observations is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
RAINFALL: Laura is expected to produce 3 to 6 inches of rain over
Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, the Dominican Republic, the
southern Haitian Peninsula and eastern Cuba through Sunday. Maximum
amounts up to 8 inches are possible along eastern portions and the
southern slopes of Puerto Rico, as well as over Haiti, the Dominican
Republic and eastern Cuba. This heavy rainfall could lead to flash
and urban flooding, as well as an increased potential for mudslides
with minor river flooding in Puerto Rico.

1 to 3 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 5 inches are
expected over the northern Leeward Islands, the Turks and Caicos
and southeast Bahamas.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of
the warning area this morning through Sunday. Tropical storm
conditions are possible within portions of the watch area Sunday
night.

SURF: Swells generated by Laura are affecting portions of the
northern Leeward Islands. These swells are expected to spread
across the northern coasts of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola and Cuba,
and much of the Bahamas during the next few days. Please consult
products from your local weather office.

Tropical Storm Marco. Advisory # 8A

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Marco Intermediate Advisory Number 8A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142020
700 AM CDT Sat Aug 22 2020

…HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS MARCO CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN…

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT…1200 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…20.2N 85.2W
ABOUT 110 MI…180 KM E OF COZUMEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1002 MB…29.59 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
* Punta Herrero to Cancun Mexico

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Punta Herrero to Dzilam Mexico

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within 24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24
hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Marco was
located near latitude 20.2 North, longitude 85.2 West. Marco is
moving toward the north-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A
northwestward motion is expected on Sunday, followed by a turn
toward the northwest and west-northwest early next week. On the
forecast track, the center of Marco will approach the eastern coast
of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico today. The center will approach
the northeastern part of the Yucatan Peninsula by early evening and
move over the central Gulf of Mexico toward the northwestern Gulf on
Sunday and Monday followed by a track toward the northwestern Gulf
coast Tuesday.

Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate
that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the
next couple of days as the system approaches the Yucatan peninsula,
and Marco could be near hurricane strength when it moves over the
central Gulf of Mexico Sunday night and early Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center. Marco’s center moved just to the west of NOAA buoy
42056, which recently reported a sustained wind of 38 mph (61 km/h)
and a gust to 45 mph (72 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
eastern Yucatan coast within the warning area this afternoon
and will spread northward and westward within the warning area
tonight, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous.
Hurricane conditions are also possible within the hurricane watch
area by this evening.

RAINFALL: Marco is expected to produce the following rainfall
accumulations through Sunday:

Eastern portions of the Mexican states of Quintana Roo and Yucatan:
3 to 6 inches, isolated maximum totals of 10 inches. Far western
Cuba: 1 to 3 inches. This rainfall may result in areas of flash
flooding.

Tropical Depression 14. Advisory # 6A

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Fourteen Intermediate Advisory Number 6A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL142020
800 PM EDT Fri Aug 21 2020

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION CONTINUES NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 84.7W
ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM SE OF COZUMEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Punta Herrero to Cancun Mexico

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Punta Herrero to Dzilam Mexico

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, generally within 36
hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fourteen
was located by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft near
latitude 18.3 North, longitude 84.7 West.  The depression is moving
toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h).  A slower northwestward
motion is expected over the next couple of days, followed by an
increase in speed by Sunday and Monday.  On the forecast track, the
center of the system will approach the east coast of the Yucatan
Peninsula of Mexico on Saturday.  The center will then cross the
northeastern part of the Yucatan Peninsula Saturday night and move
over the central Gulf of Mexico toward the northwestern Gulf on
Sunday and Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and
the depression is expected to become a tropical storm later tonight
or early Saturday.  The system could be near hurricane strength when
it reaches the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico late Saturday. Additional
strengthening is forecast Sunday and Monday as the system moves over
the central Gulf of Mexico.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on data from the
Hurricane Hunter plane is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
eastern Yucatan coast within the warning area by Saturday afternoon
and will spread northward and westward within the warning area
Saturday night, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous.
Hurricane conditions are also possible within the hurricane watch
area by late Saturday.

RAINFALL:  The depression is expected to produce the following
rainfall accumulations through Sunday:

Eastern portions of the Mexican states of Quintana Roo and Yucatan:
3 to 6 inches, isolated maximum totals of 10 inches.  This rainfall
may result in areas of flash flooding.

Eastern Honduras: 2 to 4 inches.

Northeast Nicaragua and the Cayman Islands: 1 to 2 inches

Tropical Storm Laura. Advisory # 8A

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Laura Intermediate Advisory Number 8A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132020
800 PM AST Fri Aug 21 2020

...LAURA MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.8N 62.6W
ABOUT 250 MI...415 KM ESE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Puerto Rico, Vieques and Culebra
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin and St. Barthelemy
* Antigua, Barbuda, St. Kitts, Nevis, Anguilla, and Montserrat
* The northern coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to
the border with Haiti
* The northern coast of Haiti from Le Mole St. Nicholas to the
border with the Dominican Republic

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* The southeastern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests in Cuba and the remainder of the Bahamas should monitor
the progress of Laura.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area
outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by
your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Laura was
located near latitude 16.8 North, longitude 62.6 West.  Laura is
moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h), and a generally
west-northwestward motion at a slightly faster forward speed is
expected over the next few days.  On the forecast track, the center
of Laura will move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands
tonight, near or over Puerto Rico Saturday morning, and near the
northern coast of Hispaniola Saturday night and early Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some slow strengthening is forecast during the next few days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Laura is expected to produce 3 to 6 inches of rain over
Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, the Dominican Republic, the
southern Haitian Peninsula and eastern Cuba through Sunday. Maximum
amounts up to 8 inches are possible along eastern portions and the
southern slopes of Puerto Rico, as well as over Haiti, the Dominican
Republic and eastern Cuba. This heavy rainfall could lead to flash
and urban flooding, as well as an increased potential for mudslides
with minor river flooding in Puerto Rico.

1 to 3 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 5 inches is
expected over the remainder of Haiti, the northern Leeward Islands,
the Turks and Caicos and southeast Bahamas.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of
the warning area area through Saturday.  Tropical storm conditions
are possible within portions of the watch area Saturday night and
early Sunday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Laura are affecting portions of
the northern Leeward Islands.  These swells are expected to spread
across the northern coasts of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola and Cuba,
and much of the Bahamas during the next few days.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.

Tropical Weather Outlook. 8/18 – 8PM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Aug 18 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea is producing 
a large area of cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorms, along 
with strong gusty winds on the north side of the disturbance.  
Significant development of this system is unlikely during the next 
day or so while it moves quickly westward at about 20 mph across 
the eastern and central Caribbean Sea.  After that time, however, 
the wave is forecast to move more slowly west-northwestward, and a 
tropical depression is likely to form late this week or this 
weekend when the system reaches the northwestern Caribbean Sea.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

A broad and elongated area of low pressure located about 1000 miles 
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a 
concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms on the west side of 
the disturbance.  Environmental conditions are conducive for further 
development, and a tropical depression is expected to form during 
the next day or two while the system moves generally west- 
northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western 
portions of the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Tropical Weather Outlook 8/18 – 2PM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
200 PM EDT Tue Aug 18 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave over the eastern Caribbean Sea continues to produce 
an area of disorganized thunderstorms and gusty winds.  This wave 
is moving quickly westward at about 20 mph and significant 
development is unlikely while it moves across the eastern and 
central Caribbean Sea during the next day or two.  After that time, 
however, the wave is forecast to slow down, and a tropical 
depression will likely form late this week or this weekend when it 
reaches the northwestern Caribbean Sea.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

An area of low pressure located about 1300 miles east of the 
Lesser Antilles is producing a concentrated area of showers and 
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are conducive for 
development, and a tropical depression is expected to form within 
the next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward 
at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western portions of the 
tropical Atlantic.  Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor 
the progres of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Tropical Weather Outlook. 8/18 – 8AM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Aug 18 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave over the eastern Caribbean Sea is producing an area 
of disorganized thunderstorms and gusty winds.  Significant 
development of this system is unlikely during the next couple of 
days while it moves quickly westward at about 20 mph across the 
eastern and central Caribbean Sea.  After that time, however, the 
wave is forecast to move more slowly westward, and a tropical 
depression could form late this week or this weekend when it reaches 
the northwestern Caribbean Sea.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

A broad area of low pressure located about 900 miles 
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a 
concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental 
conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while 
the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph 
across the central and western portions of the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Tropical Weather Outlook. 8/17 – 8PM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Aug 17 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave near the Windward Islands continues to produce a 
large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  This 
disturbance is moving westward at about 20 mph, and is expected to 
continue to move quickly westward over the eastern and central 
Caribbean Sea during the next couple of days, which is likely to 
limit significant development.  After that time, however, the system 
is forecast to move more slowly westward across the western 
Caribbean, where upper-level winds could become more conducive for 
the development of a tropical depression during the latter part of 
this week.  Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and 
gusty winds are expected over portions of the Windward and southern 
Leeward Islands through Tuesday morning.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Satellite images indicate that a broad area of low pressure located 
about 700 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has become 
better organized since yesterday, with increasing banding features 
near the center.  Environmental conditions are conducive for further 
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within a 
couple days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward 
at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western portions of the 
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

🐊 Football Schedule 🐊

The Florida Gators will open the 2020 season on the road in Oxford, Mississippi. That was announced Monday afternoon and now we know the rest of the Florida Gators’ 2020 football schedule.

Florida’s schedule
Sep. 26 — At Ole Miss
Oct. 3 — South Carolina
Oct. 10 — At Texas A&M
Oct. 17 — LSU
Oct. 24 — Missouri
Oct. 31 — BYE
Nov. 7 — Georgia (In Jacksonville)
Nov. 14 — Arkansas
Nov. 21 — at Vanderbilt
Nov. 28 — Kentucky
Dec 5. — at Tennessee

Florida’s matchup with Arkansas will be the first meeting between the schools since 2016. Arkansas gave Florida more than they could handle that afternoon to the tune of a 31-10 beating. This year’s matchup gains intrigue due to the fact that former Florida quarterback Feleipe Franks is expected to be the starting quarterback for the Razorbacks.

SEC Football Week One Games

The Florida Gators will open the 2020 season on the road against Lane Kiffin and Ole Miss. This is the Gators’ first trip to Oxford since 2007. The last two matchups were both held in Gainesville, Ole Miss winning in 2008, and Florida taking the matchup in 2015.

The SEC announced the full slate of games for opening weekend — September 26 — on the Paul Finebaum Show Tuesday (all games below).

FULL OPENING WEEKEND SCHEDULE:
Alabama at Missouri
Florida at Ole Miss
Georgia at Arkansas
Kentucky at Auburn
Mississippi State at LSU
Tennessee at South Carolina
Vanderbilt at Texas A&M